Vermilion County anchor navigating a decades-long industrial contraction
Danville's metro has shed roughly a third of its population since the 1980s as manufacturing employment declined, producing a voter base that swings sharply with economic sentiment and consistently posts higher turnout than comparably sized downstate Illinois markets.
| Group | Danville, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 12.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 4.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.1% | 59.5% | — | — | |
| 7.5% | 21.1% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 9.5% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 6.6% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 3.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Danville, IL metro area? 316,844 residents across 4 counties.
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+30.4 | R+36.0 | 5.5pp |