Delaware's capital region broke sharply right in 2024
The Dover metro, anchored by a large military and state-government workforce, recorded a 19.9-point Republican margin in 2024 — a striking result inside one of the most reliably Democratic states on the national map.
| Group | Dover, DE | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 64.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 23.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 5.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.1% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -16.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5% | 40.9% | — | — | |
| 8.9% | 29.0% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 15.2% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 5.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 3.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Dover, DE metro area? 637,107 residents across 4 counties.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+5.8 | D+0.5 | 5.3pp |
| President vs Senate | D+2.0 | D+5.8 | 3.8pp |
| President vs Governor | D+2.0 | D+0.5 | 1.5pp |