Northwest Arkansas's fastest-growing metro reshapes the state's political map
Anchored by Walmart's global headquarters and a booming Latinx population, this corridor has shifted from reliably rural-conservative toward a more contested suburban profile over the past decade.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton | 304K | R+27.0 | 45,231 | 79,907 | 128,595 | 13.8% |
| Washington | 257K | R+6.7 | 43,779 | 50,243 | 97,158 | 10.4% |
| Benton | 245K | R+27.0 | 45,231 | 79,907 | 128,595 | 13.8% |
| Washington | 220K | R+6.7 | 43,779 | 50,243 | 97,158 | 10.4% |
| Benton | 210K | R+27.0 | 45,231 | 79,907 | 128,595 | 13.8% |
| Washington | 193K | R+6.7 | 43,779 | 50,243 | 97,158 | 10.4% |
| Washington | 158K | R+6.7 | 43,779 | 50,243 | 97,158 | 10.4% |
| Benton | 153K | R+27.0 | 45,231 | 79,907 | 128,595 | 13.8% |
| Madison | 17K | R+58.6 | 1,491 | 5,885 | 7,501 | 0.8% |
| Madison | 16K | R+58.6 | 1,491 | 5,885 | 7,501 | 0.8% |
| Madison | 15K | R+58.6 | 1,491 | 5,885 | 7,501 | 0.8% |
| Madison | 14K | R+58.6 | 1,491 | 5,885 | 7,501 | 0.8% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 14.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 2.1% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.5% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -38.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.4% | 56.7% | — | — | |
| 11.3% | 22.6% | — | — | |
| 4.8% | 9.6% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 8.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.3% | 4.5% | — | — |
| 1.4% | 2.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR metro area? 1,802,774 residents across 12 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+24.2 | R+15.3 | 9.0pp |