How did Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+6.4. Kamala D Harris received 1,435,841 votes and Donald Trump received 1,636,060 out of 3,125,726 total votes cast, a 7.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX's political history?

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. Democrats have won 21 and Republicans 18 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 89.3 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX?

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX has a population of 26,174,840 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 49.4% non-Hispanic white, 27.1% Hispanic, 15.1% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $67,393.

Live · Metropolitan area

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Q: Which places are most similar to Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX are Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX, Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Once reliably red, DFW's sprawl now splits sharply along the urban-suburban line

Rapid in-migration from coastal metros has shifted inner suburbs like Collin and Denton counties toward competitiveness, even as the broader metro's aggregate margin remained Republican by nearly 27 points in 2024.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 19100

Population26.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

33.9y▼ 5.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

33.4%▼ 1.6

White49.4%
Hispanic27.1%
Black15.1%
Other8.3%
Two or more7.1%
Asian6.0%
Native0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TXBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX, and Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL.

8 visible matches

Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

Diverse rural democratic

R+6.9

Similarity score98%

Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX

Diverse rural democratic

D+20.4

Similarity score94%

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

Diverse rural democratic

D+1.2

Similarity score93%

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

Diverse rural democratic

R+5.3

Similarity score93%

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

Diverse rural democratic

D+14.7

Similarity score93%

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+13.7

Similarity score93%

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+17.5

Similarity score93%

Jacksonville, FL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+18.3

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Dallas	2.6M	D+22.2	511,118	322,569	849,872	6.8%
Dallas	2.5M	D+22.2	511,118	322,569	849,872	6.8%
Dallas	2.4M	D+22.2	511,118	322,569	849,872	6.8%
Dallas	2.2M	D+22.2	511,118	322,569	849,872	6.8%
Tarrant	2.2M	R+5.1	384,501	426,626	823,312	6.6%
Tarrant	1.9M	R+5.1	384,501	426,626	823,312	6.6%
Tarrant	1.7M	R+5.1	384,501	426,626	823,312	6.6%
Tarrant	1.4M	R+5.1	384,501	426,626	823,312	6.6%
Collin	1.2M	R+11.1	222,115	279,534	515,585	4.1%
Denton	980K	R+13.1	191,503	250,521	449,188	3.6%
Collin	887K	R+11.1	222,115	279,534	515,585	4.1%
Denton	755K	R+13.1	191,503	250,521	449,188	3.6%
Collin	730K	R+11.1	222,115	279,534	515,585	4.1%
Denton	612K	R+13.1	191,503	250,521	449,188	3.6%
Collin	492K	R+11.1	222,115	279,534	515,585	4.1%
Denton	433K	R+13.1	191,503	250,521	449,188	3.6%
Ellis	213K	R+31.1	33,850	64,763	99,557	0.8%
Johnson	196K	R+51.4	19,247	60,752	80,721	0.6%
Kaufman	173K	R+27.9	24,726	44,063	69,406	0.6%
Parker	165K	R+66.4	14,872	75,168	90,840	0.7%
Ellis	160K	R+31.1	33,850	64,763	99,557	0.8%
Johnson	158K	R+51.4	19,247	60,752	80,721	0.6%
Johnson	150K	R+51.4	19,247	60,752	80,721	0.6%
Ellis	142K	R+31.1	33,850	64,763	99,557	0.8%
Johnson	127K	R+51.4	19,247	60,752	80,721	0.6%
Rockwall	124K	R+40.9	18,092	43,542	62,269	0.5%
Parker	124K	R+66.4	14,872	75,168	90,840	0.7%
Kaufman	112K	R+27.9	24,726	44,063	69,406	0.6%
Ellis	111K	R+31.1	33,850	64,763	99,557	0.8%
Hunt	109K	R+55.5	10,212	36,137	46,733	0.4%
Parker	108K	R+66.4	14,872	75,168	90,840	0.7%
Kaufman	96K	R+27.9	24,726	44,063	69,406	0.6%
Hunt	89K	R+55.5	10,212	36,137	46,733	0.4%
Parker	88K	R+66.4	14,872	75,168	90,840	0.7%
Rockwall	88K	R+40.9	18,092	43,542	62,269	0.5%
Hunt	82K	R+55.5	10,212	36,137	46,733	0.4%
Hunt	77K	R+55.5	10,212	36,137	46,733	0.4%
Wise	75K	R+70.0	5,605	32,385	38,243	0.3%
Rockwall	73K	R+40.9	18,092	43,542	62,269	0.5%
Kaufman	71K	R+27.9	24,726	44,063	69,406	0.6%
Wise	62K	R+70.0	5,605	32,385	38,243	0.3%
Wise	58K	R+70.0	5,605	32,385	38,243	0.3%
Wise	49K	R+70.0	5,605	32,385	38,243	0.3%
Rockwall	43K	R+40.9	18,092	43,542	62,269	0.5%

44 countiesTotal votes: 12,502,904

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TXCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 49.4%Hispanic 27.1%Black 15.1%Asian 6.0%Multiracial 1.9%Native American 0.6%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	49.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	27.1%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	15.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	6.0%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.9%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	0.9%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.8%(4.1M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	24.3%	46.9%	—	—
Catholic	13.6%	26.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.6%	10.8%	—	—
Other	4.9%	9.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.1%	5.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.3%	2.5%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro area? 26,174,840 residents across 44 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX vs National26.2M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.2M

local

26.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.82%

local

7.82%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.5%

local

41.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$67,393

local

$67,393National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.1%

local

12.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.4%

local

33.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

60.6%

local

60.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.9 yrs

local

33.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5%

local

13.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.3%

local

8.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.7%

local

17.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.5%

local

29.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.5%

local

70.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

60.4%

vs Previous

+0.8pp

Eligible Non-Voters

2.0M · 39.6%

Citizen VAP

5,173,841

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (60/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+6.4	R+0.8	5.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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