How did Fergus Falls, MN vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fergus Falls, MN voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+34.1. Kamala D Harris received 11,752 votes and Donald Trump received 24,276 out of 36,736 total votes cast, a 1.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fergus Falls, MN's political history?

Fergus Falls, MN has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1936. The largest single-election swing was 57.3 points in 1904.

What are the demographics of Fergus Falls, MN?

Fergus Falls, MN has a population of 232,240 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 94.0% non-Hispanic white, 2.7% Hispanic. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $51,399.

Which places are most similar to Fergus Falls, MN?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Fergus Falls, MN are Alexandria, MN, Brainerd, MN, Rice Lake, WI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Fergus Falls, MN

Otter Tail County seat anchoring a rural lake-country corridor

Fergus Falls anchors a region where agricultural heritage and a dense network of lakes shape both the economy and a persistently Republican-leaning electorate that has backed GOP presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 22260

Population232K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

44.8y▲ 5.9

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

22.4%▼ 12.6

White94.0%
Hispanic2.7%
Two or more1.9%
Other1.0%
Black0.8%
Asian0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Fergus Falls, MNBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Alexandria, MN, Brainerd, MN, and Rice Lake, WI.

8 visible matches

Alexandria, MN

Small-town rural republican

R+35.0

Similarity score98%

Brainerd, MN

Small-town rural republican

R+31.9

Similarity score97%

Rice Lake, WI

Small-town rural republican

R+29.0

Similarity score96%

New Ulm, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+35.0

Similarity score96%

Morehead City, NC

Small-town rural republican

R+43.0

Similarity score95%

Gettysburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.6

Similarity score95%

Spirit Lake, IA

Small-town rural republican

R+39.9

Similarity score95%

Detroit Lakes, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.1

Similarity score95%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fergus Falls, MN

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Otter Tail	60K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	25.0%
Otter Tail	58K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	25.0%
Otter Tail	57K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	25.0%
Otter Tail	57K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	25.0%

4 countiesTotal votes: 146,944

Historian Query

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Explore Fergus Falls, MN's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fergus Falls, MN metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fergus Falls, MNCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 94.0%Hispanic 2.7%Multiracial 1.5%Black 0.8%Asian 0.5%Native American 0.4%

Group	Fergus Falls, MN	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	94.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	2.7%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.5%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(7)	0.8%	12.2%
▶Asian(5)	0.5%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.8%(33.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -22.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	21.8%	39.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	21.3%	38.3%	—	—
Catholic	12.1%	21.6%	—	—
Other	0.6%	1.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Fergus Falls, MN metro area? 232,240 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Fergus Falls, MN vs National232K residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

232K

local

232KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.8%

local

38.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$51,399

local

$51,399National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.3%

local

10.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.4%

local

22.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.3%

local

79.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

44.8 yrs

local

44.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.9%

local

8.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.1%

local

17.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.5%

local

2.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.7%

local

4.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.3%

local

95.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fergus Falls, MN

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

78.7%

vs Previous

+0.8pp

Eligible Non-Voters

10K · 21.3%

Citizen VAP

46,701

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fergus Falls, MN split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (43/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+34.1	R+19.3	14.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fergus Falls, MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Minnesota(State)

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