Appalachian twin-city market where Tennessee and Virginia share a ballot line
Kingsport-Bristol spans a state line that splits its electorate across two sets of statewide races, making it a rare metro where identical precincts report to Richmond and Nashville simultaneously. Republican margins here have widened consistently since 2008.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sullivan | 161K | R+55.0 | 16,624 | 58,154 | 75,541 | 12.6% |
| Sullivan | 157K | R+55.0 | 16,624 | 58,154 | 75,541 | 12.6% |
| Sullivan | 153K | R+55.0 | 16,624 | 58,154 | 75,541 | 12.6% |
| Sullivan | 153K | R+55.0 | 16,624 | 58,154 | 75,541 | 12.6% |
| Hawkins | 58K | R+68.8 | 3,987 | 22,066 | 26,266 | 4.4% |
| Hawkins | 57K | R+68.8 | 3,987 | 22,066 | 26,266 | 4.4% |
| Hawkins | 57K | R+68.8 | 3,987 | 22,066 | 26,266 | 4.4% |
| Washington | 55K | R+53.3 | 6,772 | 22,455 | 29,412 | 4.9% |
| Washington | 54K | R+53.3 | 6,772 | 22,455 | 29,412 | 4.9% |
| Hawkins | 54K | R+68.8 | 3,987 | 22,066 | 26,266 | 4.4% |
| Washington | 53K | R+53.3 | 6,772 | 22,455 | 29,412 | 4.9% |
| Washington | 51K | R+53.3 | 6,772 | 22,455 | 29,412 | 4.9% |
| Scott | 23K | R+70.4 | 1,607 | 9,392 | 11,057 | 1.8% |
| Scott | 23K | R+70.4 | 1,607 | 9,392 | 11,057 | 1.8% |
| Scott | 22K | R+70.4 | 1,607 | 9,392 | 11,057 | 1.8% |
| Scott | 21K | R+70.4 | 1,607 | 9,392 | 11,057 | 1.8% |
| Bristol City | 18K | R+39.7 | 2,231 | 5,197 | 7,479 | 1.2% |
| Bristol City | 17K | R+39.7 | 2,231 | 5,197 | 7,479 | 1.2% |
| Bristol City | 17K | R+39.7 | 2,231 | 5,197 | 7,479 | 1.2% |
| Bristol City | 17K | R+39.7 | 2,231 | 5,197 | 7,479 | 1.2% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 94.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 1.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 1.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -75.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6% | 74.7% | — | — | |
| 10.2% | 17.0% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 3.5% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.4% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 40.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA metro area? 1,219,932 residents across 20 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+57.5 | R+54.5 | 3.0pp |