How did Cumberland, MD-WV vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Cumberland, MD-WV voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+45.9. Kamala D Harris received 11,714 votes and Donald Trump received 32,388 out of 45,041 total votes cast, a 2.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Cumberland, MD-WV's political history?

Cumberland, MD-WV has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 44.6 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Cumberland, MD-WV?

Cumberland, MD-WV has a population of 396,538 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.7% non-Hispanic white, 1.2% Hispanic, 5.5% Black. About 17% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $42,402.

Which places are most similar to Cumberland, MD-WV?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Cumberland, MD-WV are Quincy, IL-MO, Bluefield, WV-VA, Wheeling, WV-OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Cumberland, MD-WV

Appalachian metro where deindustrialization reshaped the political map

Centered on Allegany County, Maryland, this two-state metro along the Potomac shifted decisively rightward as its coal and manufacturing economy contracted over decades, now recording some of the widest Republican margins of any mid-Atlantic metro area.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 19060

Population397K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

40.9y▲ 2.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

16.6%▼ 18.4

White90.7%
Black5.5%
Two or more2.0%
Hispanic1.2%
Asian0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Cumberland, MD-WVBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Quincy, IL-MO, Bluefield, WV-VA, and Wheeling, WV-OH.

8 visible matches

Quincy, IL-MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+48.9

Similarity score96%

Bluefield, WV-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+62.5

Similarity score95%

Wheeling, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.5

Similarity score95%

Cape Girardeau, MO-IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+48.8

Similarity score95%

Paducah, KY-IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.7

Similarity score95%

Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+44.7

Similarity score93%

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.5

Similarity score93%

Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.4

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Cumberland, MD-WV

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Allegany	75K	R+40.2	9,231	22,141	32,137	17.8%
Allegany	73K	R+40.2	9,231	22,141	32,137	17.8%
Allegany	73K	R+40.2	9,231	22,141	32,137	17.8%
Allegany	67K	R+40.2	9,231	22,141	32,137	17.8%
Mineral	28K	R+60.2	2,483	10,247	12,904	7.2%
Mineral	27K	R+60.2	2,483	10,247	12,904	7.2%
Mineral	27K	R+60.2	2,483	10,247	12,904	7.2%
Mineral	27K	R+60.2	2,483	10,247	12,904	7.2%

8 countiesTotal votes: 180,164

Historian Query

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Explore Cumberland, MD-WV's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Cumberland, MD-WV metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Cumberland, MD-WVCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.7%Black 5.5%Multiracial 1.8%Hispanic 1.2%Asian 0.6%

Group	Cumberland, MD-WV	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.7%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	5.5%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	1.2%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

40.2%(37.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -14.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.1%	35.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	13.8%	34.2%	—	—
Catholic	9.7%	24.2%	—	—
Other	2.2%	5.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.5%	1.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	59.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Mainline Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Cumberland, MD-WV metro area? 396,538 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Cumberland, MD-WV vs National397K residents

17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

397K

local

397KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.12%

local

0.12%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.2%

local

36.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$42,402

local

$42,402National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.5%

local

15.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.6%

local

16.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.1%

local

71.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.9 yrs

local

40.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.8%

local

12.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.3%

local

14.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.4%

local

1.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0%

local

3.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.0%

local

97.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cumberland, MD-WV

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

59.1%

vs Previous

+2.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

31K · 40.9%

Citizen VAP

76,182

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cumberland, MD-WV split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	R+45.9	R+59.0	13.1pp
Senate vs Governor	R+50.6	R+59.0	8.3pp
President vs Senate	R+45.9	R+50.6	4.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 21.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Cumberland, MD-WV sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Maryland(State)West Virginia(State)

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