How did Kirksville, MO vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Kirksville, MO voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+38.5. Kamala D Harris received 3,668 votes and Donald Trump received 8,359 out of 12,184 total votes cast, a 6.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Kirksville, MO's political history?

Kirksville, MO has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 47.4 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Kirksville, MO?

Kirksville, MO has a population of 117,336 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 92.3% non-Hispanic white, 1.9% Hispanic, 2.1% Black. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $38,551.

Which places are most similar to Kirksville, MO?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Kirksville, MO are Murray, KY, Maryville, MO, Rexburg, ID. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Kirksville, MO

A small college town anchoring Missouri's rural northeast

Home to Truman State University, Kirksville punches above its population weight in educational attainment, yet the surrounding Adair County has shifted toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades as rural realignment reshaped the region.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 28860

Population117K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

29.7y▼ 9.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

27.1%▼ 7.9

White92.3%
Two or more2.2%
Black2.1%
Hispanic1.9%
Asian1.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Kirksville, MOBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Murray, KY, Maryville, MO, and Rexburg, ID.

8 visible matches

Murray, KY

Educated rural competitive

R+37.9

Similarity score94%

Maryville, MO

Educated rural competitive

R+43.7

Similarity score92%

Rexburg, ID

Educated rural competitive

R+66.0

Similarity score91%

Hays, KS

Educated rural competitive

R+46.1

Similarity score90%

Stillwater, OK

Educated rural competitive

R+25.3

Similarity score90%

Pittsburg, KS

Educated rural competitive

R+25.3

Similarity score90%

Macomb, IL

Educated rural competitive

R+18.8

Similarity score90%

Mount Pleasant, MI

Educated rural competitive

R+7.5

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Kirksville, MO

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Adair	26K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	21.0%
Adair	25K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	21.0%
Adair	25K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	21.0%
Adair	25K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	21.0%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	4.0%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	4.0%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	4.0%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	4.0%

8 countiesTotal votes: 48,736

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Kirksville, MO's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Kirksville, MO metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Kirksville, MOCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 92.3%Black 2.1%Hispanic 1.9%Multiracial 1.9%Asian 1.5%

Group	Kirksville, MO	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	92.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(3)	2.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	1.9%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.9%	4.0%
▶Asian(5)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

42.8%(12.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -55.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	26.2%	61.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.6%	20.0%	—	—
Catholic	4.4%	10.2%	—	—
Other	3.7%	8.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.9%	6.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	57.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Kirksville, MO metro area? 117,336 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Kirksville, MO vs National117K residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

117K

local

117KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.5%

local

36.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$38,551

local

$38,551National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.8%

local

23.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.1%

local

27.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

61.6%

local

61.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.7 yrs

local

29.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.9%

local

22.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.8%

local

2.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.3%

local

5.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.7%

local

94.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Kirksville, MO

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

54.1%

vs Previous

-0.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

10K · 45.9%

Citizen VAP

22,519

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Kirksville, MO split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (48/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+37.0	R+44.3	7.3pp
President vs Governor	R+38.5	R+44.3	5.8pp
President vs Senate	R+38.5	R+37.0	1.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 10.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Kirksville, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Missouri(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo