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Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV

A majority-minority metro where turnout swings on union density and Latino registration

Clark County's hospitality-worker unions have driven Democratic margins in recent cycles, but rapid in-migration from California and other states continues to reshape the electorate faster than most forecasting models can track.

Presidential margin · 2024
Data unavailable for this race.
Race data unavailable
Geography
Race data unavailable
No current race for this office.
2024FIPS 29820
Population7.6M
Median ageU.S. 38.9y
36.3y▼ 2.6
Bachelor's+U.S. 35%
23.0%▼ 12.0
  • White47.3%
  • Hispanic28.7%
  • Black10.7%
  • Other10.3%
  • Asian8.5%
  • Two or more8.4%
  • Native0.8%
Trajectory · 2008–2024
Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NVBaseline
Reagan → Bush IIObama → Trump0D+10D+202020D+25R+5
Cycle2024
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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA, San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, and Vallejo, CA.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Clark2.3M
D+2.6
520,187493,0521,031,22325.0%
Clark2.1M
D+2.6
520,187493,0521,031,22325.0%
Clark1.8M
D+2.6
520,187493,0521,031,22325.0%
Clark1.4M
D+2.6
520,187493,0521,031,22325.0%
4 countiesTotal votes: 4,124,892
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NVCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 47.3%Hispanic 28.7%Black 10.7%Asian 8.5%Multiracial 3.7%Native American 0.8%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
47.3%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)
28.7%19.3%
▶Black / African American(16)
10.7%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
8.5%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
3.7%4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
1.1%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)
0.8%0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6)
0.3%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
42.1%(980.6K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +40.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
25.4%60.4%——
Other
8.2%19.4%——
Evangelical Protestant
6.4%15.3%——
LDS (Mormon)
5.7%13.5%——
Mainline Protestant
0.9%2.2%——
Orthodox Christian
0.6%1.3%——
Black Protestant
0.5%1.3%——
Non-religiousPopulation
57.9%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV metro area? 7,596,973 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Export CSVPro
Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV vs National7.6M residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
7.6M
local
7.6MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
2.27%
local
2.27%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
44.1%
local
44.1%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$59,378
local
$59,378National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
12.7%
local
12.7%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
23.0%
local
23.0%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
56.9%
local
56.9%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
36.3 yrs
local
36.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.1%
local
13.1%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
11.0%
local
11.0%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
21.1%
local
21.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
31.9%
local
31.9%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
68.1%
local
68.1%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.
2024 Turnout
64.8%
vs Previous
+3.7pp
Eligible Non-Voters
561K · 35.2%
Citizen VAP
1,591,784
History
1988–2024
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyModerate splitting (55/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateD+2.6D+7.34.6pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.3pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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