How did Lincoln, NE vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lincoln, NE voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.5. Kamala D Harris received 83,400 votes and Donald Trump received 80,882 out of 166,817 total votes cast, a 3.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lincoln, NE's political history?

Lincoln, NE has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 8 and Republicans 32 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 54.7 points in 1908.

What are the demographics of Lincoln, NE?

Lincoln, NE has a population of 1,220,951 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.2% non-Hispanic white, 5.7% Hispanic, 3.3% Black. About 37% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $56,709.

Which places are most similar to Lincoln, NE?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Lincoln, NE are Columbia, MO, Lawrence, KS, Iowa City, IA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Lincoln, NE

A Big Ten capital where university enrollment shapes city-suburban voting splits

Lincoln's Lancaster County has trended more competitive than Nebraska's statewide lean in recent cycles, driven by a large public-university workforce and student population concentrated near the UNL campus.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 30700

Population1.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

33y▼ 5.9

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

36.5%▲ 1.5

White84.2%
Hispanic5.7%
Two or more3.9%
Asian3.4%
Black3.3%
Other1.7%
Native0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Lincoln, NEBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Columbia, MO, Lawrence, KS, and Iowa City, IA.

8 visible matches

Columbia, MO

Educated rural competitive

D+2.4

Similarity score96%

Lawrence, KS

Educated rural competitive

D+38.0

Similarity score93%

Iowa City, IA

Educated rural competitive

D+30.5

Similarity score93%

Bloomington, IL

Educated rural competitive

D+4.9

Similarity score93%

Mankato, MN

Educated rural competitive

R+1.0

Similarity score93%

Ames, IA

Educated rural competitive

D+2.8

Similarity score92%

Bozeman, MT

Educated rural competitive

D+3.2

Similarity score92%

Kalamazoo-Portage, MI

Educated rural democratic

D+17.7

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lincoln, NE

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lancaster	327K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	23.6%
Lancaster	302K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	23.6%
Lancaster	274K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	23.6%
Lancaster	250K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	23.6%
Seward	18K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	1.4%
Seward	17K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	1.4%
Seward	17K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	1.4%
Seward	16K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	1.4%

8 countiesTotal votes: 667,268

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lincoln, NE's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lincoln, NE metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lincoln, NECensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.2%Hispanic 5.7%Asian 3.4%Black 3.3%Multiracial 2.7%Native American 0.6%

Group	Lincoln, NE	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.2%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	5.7%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	3.4%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(12)	3.3%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.7%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	1.0%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

44.8%(154.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -12.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	16.4%	36.7%	—	—
Catholic	13.0%	29.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	12.8%	28.5%	—	—
Other	2.2%	4.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.2%	2.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.3%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	55.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lincoln, NE metro area? 1,220,951 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Lincoln, NE vs National1.2M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.2M

local

1.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.36%

local

0.36%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.6%

local

39.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$56,709

local

$56,709National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.1%

local

12.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.5%

local

36.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

60.6%

local

60.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.0 yrs

local

33.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.9%

local

17.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.1%

local

10.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.8%

local

6.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.2%

local

10.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

89.8%

local

89.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lincoln, NE

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

65.4%

vs Previous

+0.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

88K · 34.6%

Citizen VAP

254,882

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lincoln, NE split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+1.5	R+2.1	3.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 21.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lincoln, NE sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Nebraska(State)

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