A college town turned mountain boomtown reshaping Montana's political map
Gallatin County has shifted toward competitive margins over the past decade as remote workers and university growth pushed population up roughly 40%, diluting the region's historically Republican baseline without fully flipping it.
| Group | Bozeman, MT | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 3.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.4% | 12.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -12.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 37.1% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 29.2% | — | — | |
| 6.2% | 22.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.1% | 14.3% | — | — |
| 3.1% | 11.0% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 71.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Bozeman, MT metro area? 376,395 residents across 4 counties.
48% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+3.2 | D+12.1 | 8.9pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+12.1 | D+3.4 | 8.8pp |
| President vs Governor | D+3.2 | D+3.4 | 0.2pp |