How did Lubbock, TX vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lubbock, TX voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+42.3. Kamala D Harris received 39,654 votes and Donald Trump received 98,863 out of 139,965 total votes cast, a 6.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lubbock, TX's political history?

Lubbock, TX has 35 presidential elections on record, spanning 1888 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 110.3 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Lubbock, TX?

Lubbock, TX has a population of 1,290,934 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 55.6% non-Hispanic white, 34.3% Hispanic, 6.9% Black. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $46,835.

Which places are most similar to Lubbock, TX?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Lubbock, TX are Waco, TX, Abilene, TX, College Station-Bryan, TX. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Lubbock, TX

Hub of the South Plains, anchored by Texas Tech and cotton agriculture

Lubbock's metro consistently posts some of Texas's widest Republican margins, driven by a predominantly rural-adjacent economy and a university presence that has not tempered its conservative baseline the way college towns often do elsewhere.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 31180

Population1.3M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

31.2y▼ 7.7

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

26.6%▼ 8.4

White55.6%
Hispanic34.3%
Other9.5%
Two or more7.3%
Black6.9%
Asian1.6%
Native0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Lubbock, TXBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Waco, TX, Abilene, TX, and College Station-Bryan, TX.

8 visible matches

College Station-Bryan, TX

Educated rural competitive

Educated rural competitive

R+35.6

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lubbock, TX

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lubbock	319K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	22.3%
Lubbock	295K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	22.3%
Lubbock	263K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	22.3%
Lubbock	243K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	22.3%
Hockley	23K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.4%
Hockley	23K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.4%
Hockley	22K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.4%
Hockley	21K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.4%
Crosby	7K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Garza	7K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.3%
Lynn	7K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.5%
Crosby	6K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Crosby	6K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Lynn	6K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.5%
Lynn	6K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.5%
Lynn	6K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.5%
Garza	5K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.3%
Crosby	5K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Garza	5K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.3%
Garza	5K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.3%
Cochran	4K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.2%
Cochran	3K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.2%
Cochran	3K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.2%
Cochran	3K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.2%

24 countiesTotal votes: 559,860

Historian Query

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“How has the Lubbock, TX metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lubbock, TXCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 55.6%Hispanic 34.3%Black 6.9%Asian 1.6%Multiracial 1.0%Native American 0.6%

Group	Lubbock, TX	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	55.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	34.3%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(12)	6.9%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.0%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.8%(185.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -33.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	28.6%	55.3%	—	—
Catholic	13.7%	26.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.3%	10.2%	—	—
Other	2.7%	5.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.4%	2.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.2%	2.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lubbock, TX metro area? 1,290,934 residents across 24 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Lubbock, TX vs National1.3M residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.3M

local

1.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.39%

local

0.39%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.8%

local

38.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$46,835

local

$46,835National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.4%

local

18.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.6%

local

26.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

59.0%

local

59.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.2 yrs

local

31.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.5%

local

18.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.7%

local

9.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.6%

local

5.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.0%

local

23.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.0%

local

77.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lubbock, TX

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

53.6%

vs Previous

+1.6pp

Eligible Non-Voters

121K · 46.4%

Citizen VAP

261,313

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lubbock, TX split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (70/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+42.3	R+39.9	2.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 6.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lubbock, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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