How did Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+9.4. Kamala D Harris received 481,148 votes and Donald Trump received 396,898 out of 894,773 total votes cast, a 0.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI's political history?

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 44.2 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI?

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI has a population of 6,187,721 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 69.3% non-Hispanic white, 9.2% Hispanic, 16.0% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,107.

Which places are most similar to Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI are Greensboro-High Point, NC, Raleigh-Cary, NC, Columbus, OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI

A metro where a dense Democratic core and sprawling Republican suburbs set statewide margins

Milwaukee County's high-density wards regularly post some of the Midwest's largest Democratic vote shares, while Waukesha County anchors a suburban conservative belt that has consistently outpaced it in raw turnout—leaving statewide races to hinge on which side closes the gap.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 33340

Population6.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.1y▼ 1.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

32.6%▼ 2.4

White69.3%
Black16.0%
Hispanic9.2%
Two or more4.0%
Other3.3%
Asian3.1%
Native0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WIBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Greensboro-High Point, NC, Raleigh-Cary, NC, and Columbus, OH.

8 visible matches

Greensboro-High Point, NC

Educated rural competitive 2

D+0.2

Similarity score94%

Raleigh-Cary, NC

Educated rural competitive 2

D+16.3

Similarity score94%

Columbus, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.0

Similarity score94%

Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH

Small-town rural republican 2

R+10.7

Similarity score93%

Madison, WI

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score93%

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+8.5

Similarity score93%

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Educated rural democratic

D+45.9

Similarity score93%

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+23.3

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Milwaukee	955K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	13.0%
Milwaukee	954K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	13.0%
Milwaukee	940K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	13.0%
Milwaukee	926K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	13.0%
Waukesha	412K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	7.7%
Waukesha	395K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	7.7%
Waukesha	379K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	7.7%
Waukesha	361K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	7.7%
Washington	138K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	2.6%
Washington	133K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	2.6%
Washington	128K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	2.6%
Washington	117K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	2.6%
Ozaukee	93K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.8%
Ozaukee	88K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.8%
Ozaukee	86K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.8%
Ozaukee	82K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.8%

16 countiesTotal votes: 3,579,092

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WICensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 69.3%Black 16.0%Hispanic 9.2%Asian 3.1%Multiracial 1.9%Native American 0.5%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	69.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(14)	16.0%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	9.2%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	3.1%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.9%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.5%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.3%(867.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +10.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	24.6%	44.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	16.4%	29.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.4%	9.8%	—	—
Other	5.2%	9.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.3%	6.0%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.5%	0.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI metro area? 6,187,721 residents across 16 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI vs National6.2M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.2M

local

6.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.85%

local

1.85%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.1%

local

38.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$60,107

local

$60,107National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.6%

local

32.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

61.3%

local

61.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.1 yrs

local

37.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.9%

local

10.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.8%

local

6.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.1%

local

12.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

87.9%

local

87.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

77.3%

vs Previous

+1.6pp

Eligible Non-Voters

263K · 22.7%

Citizen VAP

1,158,190

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (51/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+9.4	D+9.6	0.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Wisconsin(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo