A post-industrial metro where blue-collar legacy meets aerospace growth
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery | 559K | D+0.5 | 126,767 | 125,566 | 254,837 | 15.8% |
| Montgomery | 538K | D+0.5 | 126,767 | 125,566 | 254,837 | 15.8% |
| Montgomery | 536K | D+0.5 | 126,767 | 125,566 | 254,837 | 15.8% |
| Montgomery | 533K | D+0.5 | 126,767 | 125,566 | 254,837 | 15.8% |
| Greene | 170K | R+19.8 | 35,575 | 53,399 | 90,041 | 5.6% |
| Greene | 164K | R+19.8 | 35,575 | 53,399 | 90,041 | 5.6% |
| Greene | 158K | R+19.8 | 35,575 | 53,399 | 90,041 | 5.6% |
| Greene | 148K | R+19.8 | 35,575 | 53,399 | 90,041 | 5.6% |
| Miami | 110K | R+45.1 | 15,969 | 42,677 | 59,188 | 3.7% |
| Miami | 104K | R+45.1 | 15,969 | 42,677 | 59,188 | 3.7% |
| Miami | 101K | R+45.1 | 15,969 | 42,677 | 59,188 | 3.7% |
| Miami | 99K | R+45.1 | 15,969 | 42,677 | 59,188 | 3.7% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 15.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 51.0% | — | — | |
| 11.4% | 21.5% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 10.6% | — | — | |
| 5.0% | 9.4% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 6.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH metro area? 3,220,516 residents across 12 counties.
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+10.7 | R+3.9 | 6.8pp |