How did Minot, ND vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Minot, ND voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+49.1. Kamala D Harris received 7,873 votes and Donald Trump received 23,851 out of 32,512 total votes cast, a 2.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Minot, ND's political history?

Minot, ND has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 61.0 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Minot, ND?

Minot, ND has a population of 285,234 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 87.4% non-Hispanic white, 4.2% Hispanic, 2.8% Black. About 25% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $56,367.

Which places are most similar to Minot, ND?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Minot, ND are Kearney, NE, Dickinson, ND, Williston, ND. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Minot, ND

Williston Basin energy economy shapes a reliably Republican electorate

Minot anchors north-central North Dakota's oil-patch workforce, where presidential margins have run 30-plus points Republican in recent cycles and military ties to Minot Air Force Base add a significant active-duty demographic to the voter pool.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 33500

Population285K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

33.6y▼ 5.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

25.1%▼ 9.9

White87.4%
Hispanic4.2%
Two or more3.9%
Black2.8%
Native1.8%
Other1.3%
Asian1.1%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Minot, NDBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Kearney, NE, Dickinson, ND, and Williston, ND.

8 visible matches

Kearney, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+46.7

Similarity score94%

Dickinson, ND

Small-town rural republican 3

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.9

Similarity score88%

Weatherford, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.0

Similarity score87%

Warrensburg, MO

Educated rural competitive

R+39.6

Similarity score87%

Salina, KS

Small-town rural republican 3

R+36.0

Similarity score87%

Cedar City, UT

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.4

Similarity score86%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Minot, ND

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Ward	69K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	22.0%
Ward	69K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	22.0%
Ward	59K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	22.0%
Ward	56K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	22.0%
McHenry	6K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	2.1%
McHenry	6K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	2.1%
McHenry	5K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	2.1%
McHenry	5K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	2.1%
Renville	3K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.9%
Renville	3K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.9%
Renville	2K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.9%
Renville	2K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.9%

12 countiesTotal votes: 130,048

Historian Query

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“How has the Minot, ND metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Minot, NDCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 87.4%Hispanic 4.2%Black 2.8%Multiracial 2.7%Native American 1.8%Asian 1.1%

Group	Minot, ND	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	87.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	4.2%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(9)	2.8%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.7%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	1.8%	0.9%
▶Asian(5)	1.1%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

45.1%(34.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +14.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	17.1%	37.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	16.4%	36.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	8.4%	18.5%	—	—
Other	3.2%	7.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.6%	5.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	54.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Minot, ND metro area? 285,234 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Minot, ND vs National285K residents

25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

285K

local

285KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.09%

local

0.09%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.5%

local

39.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$56,367

local

$56,367National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.9%

local

8.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.1%

local

25.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

63.7%

local

63.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.6 yrs

local

33.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.4%

local

16.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.5%

local

10.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0%

local

3.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.1%

local

5.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.9%

local

94.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Minot, ND

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

57.4%

vs Previous

-0.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

24K · 42.6%

Citizen VAP

56,622

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Minot, ND split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+45.8	R+53.6	7.9pp
President vs Governor	R+49.1	R+53.6	4.5pp
President vs Senate	R+49.1	R+45.8	3.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 25.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Minot, ND sits inside these higher-level geographies.

North Dakota(State)

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