Tuscarawas County anchors a durable Republican lean in Ohio's canal country
This small metro in east-central Ohio has backed Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, shaped by a working-class manufacturing base and a rural Amish population that depresses overall turnout figures.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuscarawas | 93K | R+43.3 | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,023 | 25.0% |
| Tuscarawas | 92K | R+43.3 | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,023 | 25.0% |
| Tuscarawas | 91K | R+43.3 | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,023 | 25.0% |
| Tuscarawas | 91K | R+43.3 | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,023 | 25.0% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 95.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.8% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 48.9% | — | — | |
| 14.4% | 28.6% | — | — | |
| 9.5% | 19.0% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the New Philadelphia-Dover, OH metro area? 367,121 residents across 4 counties.
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+43.3 | R+32.6 | 10.7pp |