Small Texas metro where manufacturing history shapes a stubborn swing margin
Paris anchors Lamar County in far northeast Texas, a region where decades of industrial employment left a more competitive electorate than the surrounding rural counties, even as recent cycles have trended decisively toward statewide Republican margins.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar | 51K | R+60.9 | 4,079 | 17,044 | 21,285 | 19.6% |
| Lamar | 50K | R+60.9 | 4,079 | 17,044 | 21,285 | 19.6% |
| Lamar | 49K | R+60.9 | 4,079 | 17,044 | 21,285 | 19.6% |
| Lamar | 48K | R+60.9 | 4,079 | 17,044 | 21,285 | 19.6% |
| Red River | 14K | R+61.8 | 1,103 | 4,682 | 5,796 | 5.4% |
| Red River | 13K | R+61.8 | 1,103 | 4,682 | 5,796 | 5.4% |
| Red River | 12K | R+61.8 | 1,103 | 4,682 | 5,796 | 5.4% |
| Red River | 12K | R+61.8 | 1,103 | 4,682 | 5,796 | 5.4% |
| Group | Paris, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.0% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 13.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 6.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -64.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 71.0% | — | — | |
| 6.0% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 11.4% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Paris, TX metro area? 249,243 residents across 8 counties.
16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+61.1 | R+57.6 | 3.5pp |