Vigo County's long run as a presidential bellwether finally snapped in 2020
Terre Haute anchors a mid-sized metro where manufacturing decline and a large state-university population create an unusual demographic mix; Vigo County tracked the national presidential winner in every election from 1956 to 2016 before breaking that streak.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigo | 108K | R+18.1 | 16,338 | 23,738 | 40,914 | 14.8% |
| Vigo | 106K | R+18.1 | 16,338 | 23,738 | 40,914 | 14.8% |
| Vigo | 106K | R+18.1 | 16,338 | 23,738 | 40,914 | 14.8% |
| Vigo | 105K | R+18.1 | 16,338 | 23,738 | 40,914 | 14.8% |
| Clay | 27K | R+56.9 | 2,495 | 9,354 | 12,055 | 4.4% |
| Clay | 27K | R+56.9 | 2,495 | 9,354 | 12,055 | 4.4% |
| Clay | 27K | R+56.9 | 2,495 | 9,354 | 12,055 | 4.4% |
| Clay | 26K | R+56.9 | 2,495 | 9,354 | 12,055 | 4.4% |
| Sullivan | 22K | R+52.7 | 2,006 | 6,639 | 8,795 | 3.2% |
| Sullivan | 21K | R+52.7 | 2,006 | 6,639 | 8,795 | 3.2% |
| Sullivan | 21K | R+52.7 | 2,006 | 6,639 | 8,795 | 3.2% |
| Sullivan | 21K | R+52.7 | 2,006 | 6,639 | 8,795 | 3.2% |
| Vermillion | 17K | R+44.7 | 1,928 | 5,174 | 7,256 | 2.6% |
| Vermillion | 16K | R+44.7 | 1,928 | 5,174 | 7,256 | 2.6% |
| Vermillion | 16K | R+44.7 | 1,928 | 5,174 | 7,256 | 2.6% |
| Vermillion | 15K | R+44.7 | 1,928 | 5,174 | 7,256 | 2.6% |
| Group | Terre Haute, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 4.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 1.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -33.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 51.0% | — | — | |
| 7.7% | 21.9% | — | — | |
| 6.8% | 19.3% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.5% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.8% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Terre Haute, IN metro area? 680,840 residents across 16 counties.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+32.1 | R+23.7 | 8.4pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+29.4 | R+23.7 | 5.7pp |
| President vs Senate | R+32.1 | R+29.4 | 2.6pp |