Arizona State House District 12
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.6pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 239K residents
Arizona State House District 12 is a state house district that has a population of 238,923. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+15.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.2% | 41.4% | D+15.9 | D+4.6 |
| 2020* | 54.8% | 43.6% | D+11.2 | D+0.3 |
| 2016* | 51.2% | 40.3% | D+10.9 | D+11.3 |
| 2012* | 49.8% | 50.2% | R+0.4 | R+0.4 |
| 2008* | 49.4% | 49.4% | Even | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines AZ-HD-12?
AZ-HD-12 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (3D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- Shifted 16.2 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | AZ-HD-12 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 58.6% | 52.6% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.6% | 31.4% | 19.3% |
Asian | 8.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 6.5% | 4.6% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Arizona State House District 12? 238,923 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in AZ-HD-12
How competitive is AZ-HD-12?
Other Arizona State House Districts
29 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AZ-HD-20 | D+43.2 |
| AZ-HD-11 | D+39.8 |
| AZ-HD-05 | D+36.4 |
| AZ-HD-26 | D+28.8 |
| AZ-HD-06 | D+27.2 |
| AZ-HD-18 | D+24.0 |
| AZ-HD-22 | D+21.1 |
| AZ-HD-24 | D+20.5 |
| AZ-HD-08 | D+19.7 |
| AZ-HD-21 | D+18.5 |
| AZ-HD-09 | D+3.0 |
| AZ-HD-23 | D+1.8 |
| AZ-HD-13 | R+1.2 |
| AZ-HD-04 | R+3.5 |
| AZ-HD-17 | R+3.9 |
| AZ-HD-02 | R+5.5 |
| AZ-HD-16 | R+9.4 |
| AZ-HD-27 | R+11.3 |
| AZ-HD-14 | R+18.3 |
| AZ-HD-29 | R+18.3 |
| AZ-HD-10 | R+20.9 |
| AZ-HD-19 | R+23.0 |
| AZ-HD-28 | R+23.1 |
| AZ-HD-03 | R+24.5 |
| AZ-HD-25 | R+29.4 |