How did AZ-HD-23, Arizona vote in the 2024 presidential election?

AZ-HD-23, Arizona voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.8. Kamala D Harris received 41,923 votes and Donald Trump received 40,447 out of 83,160 total votes cast, a 11.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is AZ-HD-23, Arizona's political history?

AZ-HD-23, Arizona has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 12.8 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of AZ-HD-23, Arizona?

AZ-HD-23, Arizona has a population of 232,245 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 25.4% non-Hispanic white, 62.4% Hispanic, 3.6% Black.

Which places are most similar to AZ-HD-23, Arizona?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to AZ-HD-23, Arizona are Arizona State House District 21, California Assembly District 36, California Assembly District 35. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Arizona State House District 23

Arizona · Latest: 2024↓ R+11.7 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 11.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 232K residents

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
D+3.5
Obama
2012
D+5.5
Obama
2016
D+18.3
Clinton
2020
D+13.5
Biden
2024
D+1.8
Harris

Who lives here

Full breakdown

Hispanic62.4%
White25.4%
Native American6.0%

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Arizona State House District 21AZ

Diverse urban democratic

D+18.5

Similarity score97%

California Assembly District 36CA

Diverse urban democratic

R+1.2

Similarity score93%

California Assembly District 35CA

Diverse urban democratic

D+0.4

Similarity score92%

Texas State House District 74TX

Diverse urban democratic

R+14.7

Similarity score91%

New Mexico State House District 34NM

Diverse urban democratic

D+7.7

Similarity score90%

Arizona State House District 22AZ

Diverse urban democratic

D+21.1

Similarity score90%

New Mexico State House District 53NM

Diverse urban democratic

D+1.5

Similarity score90%

New Mexico State House District 38NM

Diverse urban democratic

R+4.1

Similarity score89%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore AZ-HD-23's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Arizona State House District 23 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

AZ-HD-23Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 62.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 25.4%Native American 6.0%Black 3.6%Asian 1.5%Multiracial 1.0%

Group	AZ-HD-23	State	National
Hispanic / Latino	62.4%	31.4%	19.3%
White (Non-Hispanic)	25.4%	52.6%	57.4%
Native American / Alaska Native	6.0%	4.0%	0.9%
Black / African American	3.6%	4.6%	12.2%
Asian	1.5%	3.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.0%	3.7%	4.0%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Arizona State House District 23? 232,245 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

AZ-HD-23 vs Arizona vs National232K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

232K

local

232KState 7.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.8%

local

72.8%State 76.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $80,891National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 33.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 18.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 13.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 25.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 74.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in AZ-HD-23

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

53.9%

vs Previous

+0.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

71K · 46.1%

Citizen VAP

154,224

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is AZ-HD-23?

Likely DAvg margin: D+11.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+3.5

2012

D+5.5

2016

D+18.3

2020

D+13.5

2024

D+1.8

Elasticity

16.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+8.5

Contained geographies

Counties in AZ-HD-23

Counties that overlap AZ-HD-23.

Counties

(4)

Pima51%Maricopa24%Yuma21%Pinal3.7%

Other Arizona State House Districts

29 total

Name	Margin ↓
AZ-HD-20	D+43.2
AZ-HD-11	D+39.8
AZ-HD-05	D+36.4
AZ-HD-26	D+28.8
AZ-HD-06	D+27.2
AZ-HD-18	D+24.0
AZ-HD-22	D+21.1
AZ-HD-24	D+20.5
AZ-HD-08	D+19.7
AZ-HD-21	D+18.5
AZ-HD-12	D+15.9
AZ-HD-09	D+3.0
AZ-HD-13	R+1.2
AZ-HD-04	R+3.5
AZ-HD-17	R+3.9
AZ-HD-02	R+5.5
AZ-HD-16	R+9.4
AZ-HD-27	R+11.3
AZ-HD-14	R+18.3
AZ-HD-29	R+18.3
AZ-HD-10	R+20.9
AZ-HD-19	R+23.0
AZ-HD-28	R+23.1
AZ-HD-03	R+24.5
AZ-HD-25	R+29.4

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