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Minnesota State House District 03A

Minnesota State House District 03A

Minnesota · Latest: 2024↓ R+6.0 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 42K residents

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Minnesota State House District 03A is a state house district that has a population of 42,367. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+7.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Minnesota State House District 03A Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202445.4%52.5%R+7.1R+6.0
2020*48.4%49.5%R+1.1D+7.0
2016*41.9%50.0%R+8.0R+21.1
2012*56.5%43.5%D+13.0R+2.4
2008*56.0%40.5%D+15.4—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines MN-HD-03A?

MN-HD-03A has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (2D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MN-HD-03A's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2020 election was decided by just 1.1 points — razor-thin
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
  • Highly elastic — margins have ranged 23.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
MN-HD-03ACensus ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 89.4%Multiracial 4.2%Native American 3.9%Hispanic 1.4%Black 0.6%Asian 0.4%
GroupMN-HD-03AStateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
89.4%75.9%57.4%
Multiracial / Other
4.2%4.7%4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
3.9%0.9%0.9%
Hispanic / Latino
1.4%6.4%19.3%
Black / African American
0.6%7.0%12.2%
Asian
0.4%5.1%6.0%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Minnesota State House District 03A? 42,367 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
MN-HD-03A vs Minnesota vs National42K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
42K
local
42KState 5.7MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
83.3%
local
83.3%State 74.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $90,564National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 9.3%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.4%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 72.2%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.1%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.3%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 8.7%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 12.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 87.6%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in MN-HD-03A

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
75.5%
vs Previous
-74.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
35,293
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is MN-HD-03A?

Lean RAvg margin: R+5.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+15.4
2012
D+13.0
2016
R+8.0
2020
R+1.1
2024
R+7.1
Elasticity
23.4pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+2.5

Other Minnesota State House Districts

133 total
NameMargin ↓
MN-HD-61BD+79.6
MN-HD-63AD+78.5
MN-HD-62BD+76.5
MN-HD-62AD+75.3
MN-HD-63BD+75.2
MN-HD-61AD+74.4
MN-HD-64AD+70.9
MN-HD-60AD+69.7
MN-HD-59BD+68.5
MN-HD-60BD+65.8
MN-HD-66AD+65.5
MN-HD-64BD+64.1
MN-HD-59AD+63.5
MN-HD-65AD+55.7
MN-HD-65BD+53.5
MN-HD-46AD+53.2
MN-HD-43BD+51.9
MN-HD-51AD+48.9
MN-HD-66BD+47.9
MN-HD-46BD+44.0
MN-HD-38BD+43.9
MN-HD-08BD+42.3
MN-HD-39BD+41.6
MN-HD-50AD+40.0
MN-HD-67BD+39.9
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