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Mississippi State House District 45

Mississippi State House District 45

Mississippi · Latest: 2024→ Even vs 2020

Competitive — 23K residents

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Mississippi State House District 45 is a state house district that has a population of 23,107. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+1.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Mississippi State House District 45 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202450.2%49.1%D+1.2R+0.3
202050.2%48.7%D+1.5R+7.5
201653.9%44.9%D+9.0R+6.4
201257.7%42.3%D+15.4D+3.4
200855.3%43.2%D+12.1—
Political Identity

What defines MS-HD-45?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MS-HD-45's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • The 2024 election was decided by just 1.2 points — razor-thin
  • Shifted 14.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
MS-HD-45Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Black 58.0%White (Non-Hispanic) 32.9%Native American 5.1%Multiracial 1.9%Hispanic 1.5%Asian 0.6%
GroupMS-HD-45StateNational
Black / African American
58.0%36.4%12.2%
White (Non-Hispanic)
32.9%55.2%57.4%
Native American / Alaska Native
5.1%0.5%0.9%
Multiracial / Other
1.9%3.1%4.0%
Hispanic / Latino
1.5%3.7%19.3%
Asian
0.6%1.0%6.0%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%<0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Mississippi State House District 45? 23,107 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
MS-HD-45 vs Mississippi vs National23K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
23K
local
23KState 2.9MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
76.4%
local
76.4%State 73.7%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $57,627National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 19.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 25.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 70.0%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 38.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.0%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.2%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 2.4%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 4.3%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 95.7%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in MS-HD-45

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
51.2%
vs Previous
-128.6pp
Voting-Age Pop
17,647
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is MS-HD-45?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+3.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+12.1
2012
D+15.4
2016
D+9.0
2020
D+1.5
2024
D+1.2
Elasticity
14.3pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+7.8

Other Mississippi State House Districts

121 total
NameMargin ↓
MS-HD-69D+86.3
MS-HD-67D+74.8
MS-HD-65D+73.7
MS-HD-70D+67.0
MS-HD-71D+60.0
MS-HD-72D+58.2
MS-HD-32D+55.8
MS-HD-119D+50.0
MS-HD-51D+48.9
MS-HD-82D+48.2
MS-HD-103D+47.8
MS-HD-41D+42.2
MS-HD-47D+40.9
MS-HD-94D+39.4
MS-HD-26D+37.8
MS-HD-49D+36.7
MS-HD-110D+36.5
MS-HD-57D+35.1
MS-HD-66D+32.3
MS-HD-29D+30.9
MS-HD-50D+30.3
MS-HD-68D+28.7
MS-HD-31D+28.7
MS-HD-42D+27.5
MS-HD-55D+26.0
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