North Dakota State House District 04A
Safe Democratic — shifted 44.4pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 8K residents
North Dakota State House District 04A is a state house district that has a population of 8,350. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+15.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.0% | 41.2% | D+15.8 | D+44.4 |
| 2020* | 34.6% | 63.3% | R+28.7 | R+53.0 |
| 2016* | 57.2% | 32.8% | D+24.4 | D+50.4 |
| 2012* | 35.4% | 61.5% | R+26.0 | R+70.0 |
| 2008* | 70.1% | 26.1% | D+44.0 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines ND-HD-04A?
ND-HD-04A has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
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Key Insights
- Swung 44.4 points toward Democratic between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2020
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 72.6 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | ND-HD-04A | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Native American / Alaska Native | 66.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 21.0% | 81.7% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 6.3% | 4.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
Black / African American | 1.2% | 3.4% | 12.2% |
Asian | 1.0% | 1.7% | 6.0% |
Who lives in North Dakota State House District 04A? 8,350 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in ND-HD-04A
How competitive is ND-HD-04A?
Other North Dakota State House Districts
48 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| ND-HD-09A | D+41.8 |
| ND-HD-44 | D+12.0 |
| ND-HD-21 | D+11.9 |
| ND-HD-11 | D+11.6 |
| ND-HD-10 | D+0.8 |
| ND-HD-46 | R+3.6 |
| ND-HD-43 | R+6.3 |
| ND-HD-41 | R+8.2 |
| ND-HD-18 | R+8.3 |
| ND-HD-13 | R+11.4 |
| ND-HD-45 | R+14.5 |
| ND-HD-16 | R+17.9 |
| ND-HD-17 | R+18.5 |
| ND-HD-42 | R+18.9 |
| ND-HD-27 | R+21.2 |
| ND-HD-09B | R+22.3 |
| ND-HD-35 | R+24.3 |
| ND-HD-22 | R+32.7 |
| ND-HD-24 | R+32.7 |
| ND-HD-32 | R+33.2 |
| ND-HD-15 | R+34.8 |
| ND-HD-47 | R+36.6 |
| ND-HD-12 | R+37.4 |
| ND-HD-25 | R+37.7 |
| ND-HD-40 | R+38.1 |