How did VA-HD-48, Virginia vote in the 2024 presidential election?

VA-HD-48, Virginia voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+27.8. Kamala D Harris received 15,781 votes and Donald Trump received 28,060 out of 44,226 total votes cast, a 3.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is VA-HD-48, Virginia's political history?

VA-HD-48, Virginia has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 10.7 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of VA-HD-48, Virginia?

VA-HD-48, Virginia has a population of 86,312 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 64.0% non-Hispanic white, 5.3% Hispanic, 26.8% Black.

Which places are most similar to VA-HD-48, Virginia?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to VA-HD-48, Virginia are Virginia House of Delegates District 53, Virginia House of Delegates District 49, Virginia House of Delegates District 45. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Virginia House of Delegates District 48

Virginia · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.6 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 86K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Virginia House of Delegates District 53VA

Urban Republican

R+38.5

Similarity score96%

Virginia House of Delegates District 49VA

Urban Republican

R+8.3

Similarity score96%

Virginia House of Delegates District 45VA

Urban Republican

R+67.0

Similarity score95%

Virginia House of Delegates District 35VA

Suburban Competitive

R+42.6

Similarity score95%

Virginia House of Delegates District 47VA

Urban Republican

R+53.8

Similarity score95%

Virginia House of Delegates District 37VA

Suburban Competitive

R+39.9

Similarity score95%

Virginia House of Delegates District 43VA

Urban Republican

R+68.4

Similarity score94%

Virginia House of Delegates District 36VA

Urban Republican

R+18.8

Similarity score94%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-HD-48's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Virginia House of Delegates District 48 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

VA-HD-48Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 64.0%Black 26.8%Hispanic 5.3%Multiracial 3.0%Asian 0.6%Native American 0.3%

Group	VA-HD-48	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	64.0%	58.4%	57.4%
Black / African American	26.8%	18.6%	12.2%
Hispanic / Latino	5.3%	11.0%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.0%	4.7%	4.0%
Asian	0.6%	6.9%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.3%	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia House of Delegates District 48? 86,312 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

VA-HD-48 vs Virginia vs National86K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

86K

local

86KState 8.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

80.7%

local

80.7%State 75.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $99,933National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in VA-HD-48

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

63.5%

vs Previous

-0.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

69,676

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-HD-48?

Safe RAvg margin: R+25.0 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+7.7

2012

R+12.4

2016

R+23.1

2020

R+24.2

2024

R+27.8

Elasticity

20.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+19.0

Other Virginia State House Districts

99 total

Name	Margin ↓
VA-HD-79	D+78.9
VA-HD-54	D+60.8
VA-HD-01	D+59.5
VA-HD-05	D+58.9
VA-HD-02	D+57.5
VA-HD-03	D+56.6
VA-HD-78	D+54.7
VA-HD-92	D+52.4
VA-HD-87	D+51.9
VA-HD-80	D+51.5
VA-HD-77	D+50.6
VA-HD-93	D+48.3
VA-HD-04	D+48.0
VA-HD-13	D+46.3
VA-HD-07	D+44.6
VA-HD-17	D+42.5
VA-HD-12	D+41.7
VA-HD-16	D+38.7
VA-HD-85	D+37.1
VA-HD-08	D+35.9
VA-HD-88	D+35.7
VA-HD-11	D+35.4
VA-HD-23	D+35.2
VA-HD-91	D+35.1
VA-HD-81	D+34.6

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