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Virginia House of Delegates District 53

Virginia House of Delegates District 53

Virginia · Latest: 2024↓ R+84.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 84.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 90K residents

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Virginia House of Delegates District 53 is a state house district that has a population of 90,002. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+38.5.

Virginia House of Delegates District 53 Presidential Election Results, 2020–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202430.1%68.6%R+38.5R+84.5
202071.9%26.0%D+45.9—
Political Identity

What defines VA-HD-53?

VA-HD-53 is a deep Republican suburban geography with a R+38.5 margin in 2024. It shifted 84.5pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. It has a population of 90K.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-HD-53's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 38.5% margin
  • Has flipped parties 1 time since 2020
  • Highly elastic — margins have ranged 84.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
VA-HD-53Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 46.4%Asian 21.6%Hispanic 21.0%Multiracial 5.2%Black 5.1%Native American 0.6%
GroupVA-HD-53StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
46.4%58.4%57.4%
Asian
21.6%6.9%6.0%
Hispanic / Latino
21.0%11.0%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
5.2%4.7%4.0%
Black / African American
5.1%18.6%12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.6%0.4%0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia House of Delegates District 53? 90,002 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
VA-HD-53 vs Virginia vs National90K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
90K
local
90KState 8.7MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.03%
local
0.03%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
77.8%
local
77.8%State 75.6%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $99,933National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%
Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-HD-53?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+3.7 (last 3 elections)
2020
D+45.9
2024
R+38.5
Elasticity
84.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+3.7

Other Virginia State House Districts

99 total
NameMargin ↓
VA-HD-79D+78.9
VA-HD-54D+60.8
VA-HD-01D+59.5
VA-HD-05D+58.9
VA-HD-02D+57.5
VA-HD-03D+56.6
VA-HD-78D+54.7
VA-HD-92D+52.4
VA-HD-87D+51.9
VA-HD-80D+51.5
VA-HD-77D+50.6
VA-HD-93D+48.3
VA-HD-04D+48.0
VA-HD-13D+46.3
VA-HD-07D+44.6
VA-HD-17D+42.5
VA-HD-12D+41.7
VA-HD-16D+38.7
VA-HD-85D+37.1
VA-HD-08D+35.9
VA-HD-88D+35.7
VA-HD-11D+35.4
VA-HD-23D+35.2
VA-HD-91D+35.1
VA-HD-81D+34.6
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