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Virginia Senate of Virginia District 12

Virginia Senate of Virginia District 12

Virginia · Latest: 2024↑ D+1.8 vs 2020

Competitive — 219K residents

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Virginia Senate of Virginia District 12 is a state senate district that has a population of 219,065. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+0.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Virginia Senate of Virginia District 12 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202449.2%49.0%D+0.2D+1.8
2020*48.3%49.9%R+1.6D+11.0
2016*40.5%53.1%R+12.6D+8.2
2012*39.6%60.4%R+20.8R+1.8
2008*40.1%59.1%R+19.0—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines VA-SD-12?

VA-SD-12 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 21pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-SD-12's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2024 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2020
  • Shifted 21.0 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
VA-SD-12Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 70.1%Black 15.1%Hispanic 5.9%Multiracial 4.5%Asian 4.0%
GroupVA-SD-12StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
70.1%58.4%57.4%
Black / African American
15.1%18.6%12.2%
Hispanic / Latino
5.9%11.0%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.5%4.7%4.0%
Asian
4.0%6.9%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.3%0.4%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia Senate of Virginia District 12? 219,065 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
VA-SD-12 vs Virginia vs National219K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
219K
local
219KState 8.7MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.07%
local
0.07%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
76.3%
local
76.3%State 75.6%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $99,933National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in VA-SD-12

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
83.3%
vs Previous
-61.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
167,210
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-SD-12?

Tilt RAvg margin: R+4.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+19.0
2012
R+20.8
2016
R+12.6
2020
R+1.6
2024
D+0.2
Elasticity
21.0pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+10.8

Other Virginia State Senate Districts

39 total
NameMargin ↓
VA-SD-14D+63.8
VA-SD-40D+58.3
VA-SD-39D+55.1
VA-SD-21D+46.8
VA-SD-37D+40.8
VA-SD-23D+39.5
VA-SD-34D+39.0
VA-SD-38D+38.9
VA-SD-35D+33.0
VA-SD-33D+30.0
VA-SD-15D+28.9
VA-SD-36D+26.4
VA-SD-18D+26.1
VA-SD-11D+25.5
VA-SD-13D+21.7
VA-SD-32D+21.4
VA-SD-16D+17.9
VA-SD-29D+16.9
VA-SD-22D+14.6
VA-SD-30D+8.6
VA-SD-31D+8.6
VA-SD-24D+8.1
VA-SD-17D+4.6
VA-SD-27D+3.1
VA-SD-04R+1.3
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