How did VA-SD-16, Virginia vote in the 2024 presidential election?

VA-SD-16, Virginia voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+17.9. Kamala D Harris received 69,108 votes and Donald Trump received 47,693 out of 119,385 total votes cast, a 5.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is VA-SD-16, Virginia's political history?

VA-SD-16, Virginia has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 3 and Republicans 2 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 16.1 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of VA-SD-16, Virginia?

VA-SD-16, Virginia has a population of 218,730 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 59.6% non-Hispanic white, 7.4% Hispanic, 14.0% Black.

Which places are most similar to VA-SD-16, Virginia?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state senate districts to VA-SD-16, Virginia are Illinois State Senate District 8, California State Senate District 9, New York State Senate District 63. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Virginia Senate of Virginia District 16

Virginia · Latest: 2024↓ R+5.2 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 219K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Illinois State Senate District 8IL

Urban Democratic

D+17.8

Similarity score96%

California State Senate District 9CA

Diverse urban democratic

D+38.3

Similarity score92%

New York State Senate District 63NY

Urban Democratic

D+31.9

Similarity score92%

New York State Senate District 12NY

Diverse urban democratic

D+22.1

Similarity score91%

Kentucky State Senate District 13KY

Urban Democratic

D+33.2

Similarity score91%

Washington State Senate District 11WA

Urban Democratic

D+36.9

Similarity score91%

New York State Senate District 27NY

Urban Democratic

D+60.6

Similarity score90%

Kentucky State Senate District 35KY

Urban Democratic

D+27.6

Similarity score90%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-SD-16's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Virginia Senate of Virginia District 16 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

VA-SD-16Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 59.6%Black 14.0%Asian 14.0%Hispanic 7.4%Multiracial 4.5%Native American 0.3%

Group	VA-SD-16	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	59.6%	58.4%	57.4%
Black / African American	14.0%	18.6%	12.2%
Asian	14.0%	6.9%	6.0%
Hispanic / Latino	7.4%	11.0%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.5%	4.7%	4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.3%	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia Senate of Virginia District 16? 218,730 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

VA-SD-16 vs Virginia vs National219K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

219K

local

219KState 8.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.8%

local

76.8%State 75.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $99,933National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in VA-SD-16

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

71.1%

vs Previous

-65.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

167,908

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-SD-16?

Safe DAvg margin: D+16.0 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+6.2

2012

R+8.3

2016

D+7.1

2020

D+23.1

2024

D+17.9

Elasticity

31.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+6.7

Other Virginia State Senate Districts

39 total

Name	Margin ↓
VA-SD-14	D+63.8
VA-SD-40	D+58.3
VA-SD-39	D+55.1
VA-SD-21	D+46.8
VA-SD-37	D+40.8
VA-SD-23	D+39.5
VA-SD-34	D+39.0
VA-SD-38	D+38.9
VA-SD-35	D+33.0
VA-SD-33	D+30.0
VA-SD-15	D+28.9
VA-SD-36	D+26.4
VA-SD-18	D+26.1
VA-SD-11	D+25.5
VA-SD-13	D+21.7
VA-SD-32	D+21.4
VA-SD-29	D+16.9
VA-SD-22	D+14.6
VA-SD-30	D+8.6
VA-SD-31	D+8.6
VA-SD-24	D+8.1
VA-SD-17	D+4.6
VA-SD-27	D+3.1
VA-SD-12	D+0.2
VA-SD-04	R+1.3

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