Baker County, Florida: Deep Red Country
Florida · Presidential Elections 1884–2024
R+72.9
2024 Margin
R+2.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1984
Voting Streak
28K
Population
Baker County, Florida voted R+72.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 12,926 votes (86.11%). This represented a R+2.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1984.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+72.9
2020→2024 SwingR+2.7%
Voting StreakR since 1984
Elections on Record32
Demographics
Population28,259
Median Age
37.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
15.3%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$67,872(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
77.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 18.6%)
Black
13.6%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
83.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.4%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.7%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Evangelical
25.4%(+8.9 vs US)
Catholic
2.3%(-16.4 vs US)
Black Protestant
1.9%
LDS/Mormon
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%(-4.1 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:37.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.2%↑
18-29
8.5%↓
30-44
21.1%↑
45-64
31.2%↑
65+
15.1%
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSConstructionVery high
11.6%Retail Trade
10.4%HealthcareBelow avg
7.4%Professional ServicesBelow avg
6.8%ManufacturingBelow avg
6.6%EducationBelow avg
5.1%Political relevance:
Construction: Infrastructure focus
+ 1 more industries
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.2%(1,982) | 86.1%(12,926) | R+72.9 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 14.5%(2,037) | 84.7%(11,911) | R+70.2 | R+5.5 |
| 2016 | 16.7%(2,112) | 81.5%(10,294) | R+64.8 | R+6.1 |
| 2012 | 20.3%(2,311) | 79.0%(8,975) | R+58.6 | R+1.3 |
| 2008 | 21.0%(2,327) | 78.4%(8,672) | R+57.4 | R+1.5 |
| 2004 | 21.9%(2,180) | 77.7%(7,738) | R+55.8 | R+16.4 |
| 2000 | 29.3%(2,392) | 68.8%(5,611) | R+39.5 | R+18.2 |
| 1996 | 34.3%(2,273) | 55.5%(3,686) | R+21.3 | D+0.1 |
| 1992 | 29.3%(1,976) | 50.6%(3,418) | R+21.3 | D+21.8 |
| 1988 | 28.3%(1,355) | 71.5%(3,418) | R+43.1 | D+0.1 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14.3%(2,161) | 82.5%(12,415) | R+68.1 | D+9.0 |
| 2022 | 11.1%(1,181) | 88.2%(9,431) | R+77.2 | R+14.1 |
| 2018 | 18.5%(1,945) | 81.5%(8,579) | R+63.0 | R+0.7 |
| 2016 | 17.1%(2,135) | 79.5%(9,901) | R+62.3 | R+34.9 |
| 2012 | 34.9%(3,884) | 62.3%(6,940) | R+27.4 | D+27.6 |
| 2010 | 12.9%(1,031) | 68.0%(5,435) | R+55.1 | R+44.7 |
| 2006 | 44.3%(2,771) | 54.6%(3,420) | R+10.4 | D+29.9 |
| 2004 | 28.9%(2,853) | 69.2%(6,815) | R+40.2 | R+21.4 |
| 2000 | 39.6%(3,104) | 58.4%(4,578) | R+18.8 | R+29.6 |
| 1998 | 55.4%(2,586) | 44.6%(2,082) | D+10.8 | D+65.2 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10.2%(1,092) | 89.4%(9,594) | R+79.2 | R+13.5 |
| 2018 | 16.7%(1,760) | 82.4%(8,687) | R+65.7 | R+20.0 |
| 2014 | 24.9%(2,100) | 70.5%(5,956) | R+45.7 | R+17.8 |
| 2010 | 34.5%(2,731) | 62.3%(4,940) | R+27.9 | D+13.7 |
| 2006 | 27.8%(1,738) | 69.4%(4,335) | R+41.6 | R+2.4 |
| 2002 | 30.1%(1,961) | 69.2%(4,515) | R+39.1 | D+3.1 |
| 1998 | 28.9%(1,326) | 71.1%(3,268) | R+42.3 | R+5.2 |
| 1994 | 31.5%(1,654) | 68.5%(3,600) | R+37.0 | R+41.7 |
| 1990 | 52.4%(2,150) | 47.6%(1,957) | D+4.7 | D+31.2 |
| 1986 | 36.7%(1,447) | 63.1%(2,491) | R+26.5 | R+90.9 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab