How did Jacksonville, FL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Jacksonville, FL voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+18.3. Kamala D Harris received 353,278 votes and Donald Trump received 513,626 out of 876,152 total votes cast, a 5.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Jacksonville, FL's political history?

Jacksonville, FL has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 100.7 points in 1892.

What are the demographics of Jacksonville, FL?

Jacksonville, FL has a population of 5,525,491 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 64.7% non-Hispanic white, 7.5% Hispanic, 21.2% Black. About 29% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,078.

Live · Metropolitan area

Jacksonville, FL

Q: Which places are most similar to Jacksonville, FL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Jacksonville, FL are Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA, Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Florida's largest city by area shifts with its suburbs

Jacksonville's consolidated city-county government makes it one of Florida's most Republican-leaning major metros, but rapid suburban growth in St. Johns County has outpaced the core, pulling regional margins steadily rightward over the past decade.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 27260

Population5.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.4y▼ 1.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.3%▼ 5.7

White64.7%
Black21.2%
Hispanic7.5%
Two or more4.8%
Asian3.4%
Other2.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Jacksonville, FLBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA, and Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI.

8 visible matches

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+17.5

Similarity score94%

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+13.7

Similarity score94%

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+7.1

Similarity score93%

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.4

Similarity score92%

Columbus, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.0

Similarity score92%

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Educated rural competitive 2

R+6.4

Similarity score92%

Charleston-North Charleston, SC

Educated rural competitive 2

R+4.3

Similarity score92%

Richmond, VA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+13.4

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Jacksonville, FL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Duval	1.0M	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	13.4%
Duval	901K	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	13.4%
Duval	846K	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	13.4%
Duval	779K	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	13.4%
St. Johns	307K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	5.6%
Clay	228K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.6%
St. Johns	218K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	5.6%
Clay	200K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.6%
Clay	180K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.6%
St. Johns	175K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	5.6%
Clay	141K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.6%
St. Johns	123K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	5.6%
Nassau	98K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.9%
Nassau	77K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.9%
Nassau	68K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.9%
Nassau	58K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.9%
Baker	28K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.4%
Baker	27K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.4%
Baker	25K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.4%
Baker	22K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.4%

20 countiesTotal votes: 3,504,608

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Jacksonville, FL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Jacksonville, FL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Jacksonville, FLCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 64.7%Black 21.2%Hispanic 7.5%Asian 3.4%Multiracial 2.8%

Group	Jacksonville, FL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	64.7%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	21.2%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	7.5%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	3.4%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.8%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	0.9%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

53.0%(893.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	28.5%	53.7%	—	—
Catholic	12.4%	23.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	5.3%	9.9%	—	—
Other	3.3%	6.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.3%	6.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	1.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	47.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Jacksonville, FL metro area? 5,525,491 residents across 20 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Jacksonville, FL vs National5.5M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.5M

local

5.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.65%

local

1.65%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.6%

local

42.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$60,078

local

$60,078National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.3%

local

29.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.5%

local

66.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.4 yrs

local

37.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.6%

local

12.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.5%

local

11.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.1%

local

8.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.7%

local

88.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Jacksonville, FL

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

70.0%

vs Previous

+0.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

375K · 30.0%

Citizen VAP

1,251,242

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Jacksonville, FL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (48/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+18.3	R+18.9	0.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 10.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Jacksonville, FL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Florida(State)

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