How did Jacksonville vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Jacksonville voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+23.4. Kamala D Harris received 406,248 votes and Donald Trump received 657,240 out of 1,073,765 total votes cast, a 5.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Jacksonville's political history?

Jacksonville has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 72.8 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Jacksonville?

Jacksonville has a population of 7,088,055 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 66.2% non-Hispanic white, 7.1% Hispanic, 20.9% Black. About 26% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $56,852.

Which places are most similar to Jacksonville?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Jacksonville are Mobile-Pensacola (Fort Walton Beach), Charlotte, Nashville. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Jacksonville

Northeast Florida's dominant media market, anchored by a Navy-heavy swing corridor

Jacksonville's media market spans the northeastern Florida coast and bleeds into coastal Georgia, reaching an electorate shaped by a large active-duty and veteran population that has historically tilted competitive in federal contests while reliably backing statewide Republican candidates.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 561

Population7.1M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.7y▼ 1.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

26.5%▼ 8.5

White66.2%
Black20.9%
Hispanic7.1%
Two or more4.5%
Asian2.8%
Other1.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

JacksonvilleBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Mobile-Pensacola (Fort Walton Beach), Charlotte, and Nashville.

8 visible matches

Mobile-Pensacola (Fort Walton Beach)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+34.7

Similarity score83%

Charlotte

Small-town rural republican 3

R+8.9

Similarity score82%

Nashville

Small-town rural republican 3

R+28.0

Similarity score79%

Atlanta

Educated rural competitive

D+4.7

Similarity score79%

Cincinnati

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.0

Similarity score78%

Greenvll-Spart-Ashevll-and

Small-town rural republican 3

R+26.4

Similarity score75%

Louisville

Small-town rural republican 3

R+16.4

Similarity score75%

St. Louis

Small-town rural republican 3

R+5.3

Similarity score74%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Jacksonville

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Duval	1.0M	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	11.0%
Duval	901K	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	11.0%
Duval	846K	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	11.0%
Duval	779K	R+1.5	229,365	236,285	471,282	11.0%
St. Johns	307K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	4.6%
Clay	228K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.0%
St. Johns	218K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	4.6%
Clay	200K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.0%
Clay	180K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.0%
St. Johns	175K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	4.6%
Clay	141K	R+39.3	37,926	87,711	126,811	3.0%
St. Johns	123K	R+31.4	66,862	128,759	197,457	4.6%
Nassau	98K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.5%
Glynn	85K	R+26.0	16,144	27,558	43,912	1.0%
Glynn	83K	R+26.0	16,144	27,558	43,912	1.0%
Nassau	77K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.5%
Putnam	75K	R+47.8	9,354	26,700	36,272	0.8%
Glynn	75K	R+26.0	16,144	27,558	43,912	1.0%
Putnam	73K	R+47.8	9,354	26,700	36,272	0.8%
Putnam	72K	R+47.8	9,354	26,700	36,272	0.8%
Columbia	72K	R+50.2	8,250	25,108	33,592	0.8%
Putnam	70K	R+47.8	9,354	26,700	36,272	0.8%
Columbia	68K	R+50.2	8,250	25,108	33,592	0.8%
Nassau	68K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.5%
Glynn	68K	R+26.0	16,144	27,558	43,912	1.0%
Columbia	67K	R+50.2	8,250	25,108	33,592	0.8%
Nassau	58K	R+46.9	17,143	47,945	65,625	1.5%
Camden	57K	R+35.7	8,405	17,819	26,393	0.6%
Columbia	57K	R+50.2	8,250	25,108	33,592	0.8%
Camden	52K	R+35.7	8,405	17,819	26,393	0.6%
Camden	47K	R+35.7	8,405	17,819	26,393	0.6%
Camden	44K	R+35.7	8,405	17,819	26,393	0.6%
Ware	36K	R+43.2	4,068	10,279	14,392	0.3%
Ware	36K	R+43.2	4,068	10,279	14,392	0.3%
Ware	36K	R+43.2	4,068	10,279	14,392	0.3%
Ware	35K	R+43.2	4,068	10,279	14,392	0.3%
Bradford	29K	R+57.2	2,946	10,920	13,932	0.3%
Baker	28K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.3%
Bradford	28K	R+57.2	2,946	10,920	13,932	0.3%
Baker	27K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.3%
Bradford	27K	R+57.2	2,946	10,920	13,932	0.3%
Bradford	26K	R+57.2	2,946	10,920	13,932	0.3%
Baker	25K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.3%
Baker	22K	R+73.1	1,982	12,926	14,977	0.3%
Pierce	20K	R+77.5	1,089	8,655	9,761	0.2%
Pierce	19K	R+77.5	1,089	8,655	9,761	0.2%
Brantley	18K	R+82.5	736	7,744	8,500	0.2%
Brantley	18K	R+82.5	736	7,744	8,500	0.2%
Pierce	18K	R+77.5	1,089	8,655	9,761	0.2%
Union	16K	R+68.3	971	5,224	6,231	0.1%
Pierce	16K	R+77.5	1,089	8,655	9,761	0.2%
Brantley	15K	R+82.5	736	7,744	8,500	0.2%
Union	15K	R+68.3	971	5,224	6,231	0.1%
Brantley	15K	R+82.5	736	7,744	8,500	0.2%
Union	15K	R+68.3	971	5,224	6,231	0.1%
Union	13K	R+68.3	971	5,224	6,231	0.1%
Charlton	13K	R+56.2	1,007	3,607	4,628	0.1%
Charlton	13K	R+56.2	1,007	3,607	4,628	0.1%
Charlton	11K	R+56.2	1,007	3,607	4,628	0.1%
Charlton	10K	R+56.2	1,007	3,607	4,628	0.1%

60 countiesTotal votes: 4,295,060

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Jacksonville's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Jacksonville media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

JacksonvilleCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 66.2%Black 20.9%Hispanic 7.1%Asian 2.8%Multiracial 2.7%

Group	Jacksonville	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	66.2%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	20.9%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	7.1%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.8%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.7%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	0.7%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.6%(1.1M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -39.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	28.8%	55.8%	—	—
Catholic	10.6%	20.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	5.2%	10.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.6%	7.0%	—	—
Other	3.2%	6.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	2.0%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Jacksonville media market? 7,088,055 residents across 60 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Jacksonville vs National7.1M residents

26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.1M

local

7.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.12%

local

2.12%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.6%

local

41.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$56,852

local

$56,852National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5%

local

13.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.5%

local

26.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.4%

local

67.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.7 yrs

local

37.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.1%

local

7.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.2%

local

10.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

89.8%

local

89.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Jacksonville

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

68.4%

vs Previous

+1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

497K · 31.6%

Citizen VAP

1,570,736

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Jacksonville split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (23/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+23.4	R+21.7	1.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Jacksonville sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Florida(State)Georgia(State)

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