Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 26.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 12.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.3% | 38.5% |
| Catholic | 16.1% | 36.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 11.5% |
| Other | 3.6% | 8.1% |
| Black Protestant | 2.5% | 5.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 55.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+27.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+22.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.1 |
1996: Perot 7.4% · 1992: Perot 22.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%