Safe Republican — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 76.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 18.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.5% | 71.8% |
| Catholic | 8.3% | 14.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 13.5% |
| Non-religious | 43.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+70.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+67.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+68.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+63.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+53.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+52.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+46.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.5 |
1996: Perot 11.5% · 1992: Perot 35.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%