How did Bowling Green vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Bowling Green voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+39.5. Kamala D Harris received 30,239 votes and Donald Trump received 70,722 out of 102,419 total votes cast, a 6.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Bowling Green's political history?

Bowling Green has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 60.9 points in 1872.

What are the demographics of Bowling Green?

Bowling Green has a population of 840,211 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 85.9% non-Hispanic white, 3.6% Hispanic, 6.3% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,760.

Which places are most similar to Bowling Green?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Bowling Green are Jonesboro, Alexandria, LA, Watertown. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Bowling Green

South-central Kentucky's anchor market, where rural counties dominate the dial

The Bowling Green DMA stretches across a swath of south-central Kentucky where agricultural counties consistently post some of the state's widest partisan margins, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide rural turnout patterns.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 736

Population840K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.1y▼ 2.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

21.2%▼ 13.8

White85.9%
Black6.3%
Hispanic3.6%
Two or more2.5%
Asian1.8%
Other1.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Bowling GreenBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Jonesboro, Alexandria, LA, and Watertown.

8 visible matches

Small-town rural republican

R+45.2

Similarity score83%

Wichita Falls & Lawton

Small-town rural republican 3

R+32.2

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Bowling Green

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Warren	141K	R+24.3	21,065	34,862	56,891	13.9%
Warren	121K	R+24.3	21,065	34,862	56,891	13.9%
Warren	104K	R+24.3	21,065	34,862	56,891	13.9%
Warren	93K	R+24.3	21,065	34,862	56,891	13.9%
Barren	45K	R+52.8	4,565	15,019	19,802	4.8%
Barren	43K	R+52.8	4,565	15,019	19,802	4.8%
Barren	41K	R+52.8	4,565	15,019	19,802	4.8%
Barren	38K	R+52.8	4,565	15,019	19,802	4.8%
Hart	20K	R+60.0	1,642	6,691	8,409	2.1%
Hart	19K	R+60.0	1,642	6,691	8,409	2.1%
Hart	18K	R+60.0	1,642	6,691	8,409	2.1%
Hart	17K	R+60.0	1,642	6,691	8,409	2.1%
Butler	13K	R+66.3	965	4,905	5,943	1.5%
Butler	13K	R+66.3	965	4,905	5,943	1.5%
Butler	13K	R+66.3	965	4,905	5,943	1.5%
Butler	12K	R+66.3	965	4,905	5,943	1.5%
Edmonson	12K	R+62.9	1,118	5,048	6,247	1.5%
Edmonson	12K	R+62.9	1,118	5,048	6,247	1.5%
Edmonson	12K	R+62.9	1,118	5,048	6,247	1.5%
Edmonson	12K	R+62.9	1,118	5,048	6,247	1.5%
Metcalfe	10K	R+64.6	884	4,197	5,127	1.3%
Metcalfe	10K	R+64.6	884	4,197	5,127	1.3%
Metcalfe	10K	R+64.6	884	4,197	5,127	1.3%
Metcalfe	10K	R+64.6	884	4,197	5,127	1.3%

24 countiesTotal votes: 409,676

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Bowling Green's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Bowling Green media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Bowling GreenCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 85.9%Black 6.3%Hispanic 3.6%Multiracial 1.8%Asian 1.8%Native American 0.3%

Group	Bowling Green	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	85.9%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(9)	6.3%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	3.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

48.6%(116.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -69.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	35.9%	74.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.2%	10.7%	—	—
Catholic	4.6%	9.5%	—	—
Other	2.2%	4.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.6%	1.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	51.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Bowling Green media market? 840,211 residents across 24 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Bowling Green vs National840K residents

21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

840K

local

840KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.25%

local

0.25%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.1%

local

40.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,760

local

$44,760National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.8%

local

18.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.2%

local

21.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.8%

local

65.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.1 yrs

local

36.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.8%

local

14.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.9%

local

4.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.0%

local

8.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.0%

local

92.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Bowling Green

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

58.3%

vs Previous

+0.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

73K · 41.7%

Citizen VAP

175,582

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Bowling Green split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (40/100)

2020 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+33.4	R+26.2	7.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Bowling Green sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Kentucky(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Media Market Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo