How did Lexington vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lexington voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+32.2. Kamala D Harris received 201,068 votes and Donald Trump received 397,044 out of 608,322 total votes cast, a 4.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lexington's political history?

Lexington has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 39.6 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Lexington?

Lexington has a population of 5,004,007 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 88.1% non-Hispanic white, 3.1% Hispanic, 5.5% Black. About 24% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,203.

Which places are most similar to Lexington?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Lexington are Springfield, MO, Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Birmingham (Anniston & Tuscaloosa). Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Lexington

Bluegrass media hub anchoring Kentucky's college-town corridor

The Lexington DMA blends a large university population with surrounding rural counties, producing a media audience that swings measurably younger and more educated than Kentucky's statewide average.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 541

Population5.0M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.2y▼ 1.7

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

23.6%▼ 11.4

White88.1%
Black5.5%
Hispanic3.1%
Two or more2.4%
Asian1.2%
Other1.2%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

LexingtonBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Springfield, MO, Little Rock-Pine Bluff, and Birmingham (Anniston & Tuscaloosa).

8 visible matches

Springfield, MO

Small-town rural republican

R+49.9

Similarity score84%

Little Rock-Pine Bluff

Rural Republican

R+26.2

Similarity score83%

Birmingham (Anniston & Tuscaloosa)

Small-town rural republican

Columbia-Jefferson City

Small-town rural republican 3

R+27.2

Similarity score81%

Champaign & Springfield-Decatur

Small-town rural republican 3

R+18.7

Similarity score79%

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney

Small-town rural republican 3

R+29.3

Similarity score79%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lexington

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Fayette	324K	D+18.1	83,387	57,347	143,935	5.9%
Fayette	312K	D+18.1	83,387	57,347	143,935	5.9%
Fayette	288K	D+18.1	83,387	57,347	143,935	5.9%
Fayette	261K	D+18.1	83,387	57,347	143,935	5.9%
Madison	96K	R+30.9	15,180	29,130	45,188	1.9%
Madison	87K	R+30.9	15,180	29,130	45,188	1.9%
Madison	81K	R+30.9	15,180	29,130	45,188	1.9%
Madison	71K	R+30.9	15,180	29,130	45,188	1.9%
Pulaski	66K	R+65.2	5,351	26,051	31,735	1.3%
Pulaski	64K	R+65.2	5,351	26,051	31,735	1.3%
Laurel	63K	R+69.8	4,037	23,516	27,887	1.1%
Laurel	60K	R+69.8	4,037	23,516	27,887	1.1%
Pulaski	60K	R+65.2	5,351	26,051	31,735	1.3%
Scott	60K	R+27.7	10,501	18,747	29,769	1.2%
Laurel	57K	R+69.8	4,037	23,516	27,887	1.1%
Pulaski	56K	R+65.2	5,351	26,051	31,735	1.3%
Jessamine	55K	R+35.8	8,303	17,854	26,685	1.1%
Laurel	53K	R+69.8	4,037	23,516	27,887	1.1%
Franklin	52K	R+4.8	11,996	13,246	25,763	1.1%
Scott	51K	R+27.7	10,501	18,747	29,769	1.2%
Jessamine	51K	R+35.8	8,303	17,854	26,685	1.1%
Franklin	50K	R+4.8	11,996	13,246	25,763	1.1%
Franklin	49K	R+4.8	11,996	13,246	25,763	1.1%
Franklin	48K	R+4.8	11,996	13,246	25,763	1.1%
Jessamine	46K	R+35.8	8,303	17,854	26,685	1.1%
Scott	43K	R+27.7	10,501	18,747	29,769	1.2%
Jessamine	39K	R+35.8	8,303	17,854	26,685	1.1%
Whitley	38K	R+69.3	2,237	12,687	15,075	0.6%
Clark	37K	R+35.3	5,639	11,950	17,885	0.7%
Whitley	37K	R+69.3	2,237	12,687	15,075	0.6%
Whitley	36K	R+69.3	2,237	12,687	15,075	0.6%
Whitley	36K	R+69.3	2,237	12,687	15,075	0.6%
Clark	36K	R+35.3	5,639	11,950	17,885	0.7%
Clark	35K	R+35.3	5,639	11,950	17,885	0.7%
Clark	33K	R+35.3	5,639	11,950	17,885	0.7%
Scott	33K	R+27.7	10,501	18,747	29,769	1.2%
Knox	32K	R+71.1	1,821	11,178	13,156	0.5%
Knox	32K	R+71.1	1,821	11,178	13,156	0.5%
Knox	32K	R+71.1	1,821	11,178	13,156	0.5%
Boyle	31K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	0.6%
Knox	30K	R+71.1	1,821	11,178	13,156	0.5%
Boyle	30K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	0.6%
Perry	29K	R+59.5	1,966	7,913	9,992	0.4%
Perry	29K	R+59.5	1,966	7,913	9,992	0.4%
Boyle	29K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	0.6%
Montgomery	28K	R+46.6	3,329	9,302	12,821	0.5%
Perry	28K	R+59.5	1,966	7,913	9,992	0.4%
Boyle	28K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	0.6%
Perry	27K	R+59.5	1,966	7,913	9,992	0.4%
Montgomery	27K	R+46.6	3,329	9,302	12,821	0.5%
Woodford	27K	R+14.3	6,282	8,419	14,993	0.6%
Woodford	26K	R+14.3	6,282	8,419	14,993	0.6%
Montgomery	25K	R+46.6	3,329	9,302	12,821	0.5%
Lincoln	25K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	0.5%
Rowan	25K	R+27.8	3,484	6,224	9,873	0.4%
Clay	25K	R+80.3	692	6,729	7,517	0.3%
Lincoln	25K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	0.5%
Woodford	24K	R+14.3	6,282	8,419	14,993	0.6%
Lincoln	24K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	0.5%
Anderson	24K	R+49.1	3,226	9,650	13,095	0.5%
Rowan	24K	R+27.8	3,484	6,224	9,873	0.4%
Clay	24K	R+80.3	692	6,729	7,517	0.3%
Lincoln	23K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	0.5%
Woodford	23K	R+14.3	6,282	8,419	14,993	0.6%
Mercer	23K	R+50.5	2,838	8,826	11,851	0.5%
Montgomery	23K	R+46.6	3,329	9,302	12,821	0.5%
Rowan	23K	R+27.8	3,484	6,224	9,873	0.4%
Rowan	22K	R+27.8	3,484	6,224	9,873	0.4%
Anderson	22K	R+49.1	3,226	9,650	13,095	0.5%
Mercer	22K	R+50.5	2,838	8,826	11,851	0.5%
Mercer	21K	R+50.5	2,838	8,826	11,851	0.5%
Clay	21K	R+80.3	692	6,729	7,517	0.3%
Anderson	21K	R+49.1	3,226	9,650	13,095	0.5%
Mercer	21K	R+50.5	2,838	8,826	11,851	0.5%
Wayne	21K	R+66.0	1,444	7,203	8,733	0.4%
Wayne	21K	R+66.0	1,444	7,203	8,733	0.4%
Bourbon	20K	R+33.5	3,088	6,284	9,537	0.4%
Bourbon	20K	R+33.5	3,088	6,284	9,537	0.4%
Wayne	20K	R+66.0	1,444	7,203	8,733	0.4%
Clay	20K	R+80.3	692	6,729	7,517	0.3%
Bourbon	20K	R+33.5	3,088	6,284	9,537	0.4%
Wayne	20K	R+66.0	1,444	7,203	8,733	0.4%
Bourbon	19K	R+33.5	3,088	6,284	9,537	0.4%
Harrison	19K	R+48.5	2,265	6,639	9,018	0.4%
Anderson	19K	R+49.1	3,226	9,650	13,095	0.5%
Harrison	19K	R+48.5	2,265	6,639	9,018	0.4%
Harrison	19K	R+48.5	2,265	6,639	9,018	0.4%
Russell	18K	R+72.2	1,200	7,622	8,893	0.4%
Harrison	18K	R+48.5	2,265	6,639	9,018	0.4%
Russell	18K	R+72.2	1,200	7,622	8,893	0.4%
Knott	18K	R+59.1	1,181	4,732	6,003	0.2%
Garrard	18K	R+60.2	1,719	7,086	8,917	0.4%
Knott	17K	R+59.1	1,181	4,732	6,003	0.2%
Russell	17K	R+72.2	1,200	7,622	8,893	0.4%
Garrard	17K	R+60.2	1,719	7,086	8,917	0.4%
Rockcastle	17K	R+73.1	986	6,635	7,724	0.3%
Garrard	17K	R+60.2	1,719	7,086	8,917	0.4%
Rockcastle	17K	R+73.1	986	6,635	7,724	0.3%
Rockcastle	17K	R+73.1	986	6,635	7,724	0.3%
Russell	16K	R+72.2	1,200	7,622	8,893	0.4%
Casey	16K	R+76.4	804	6,216	7,080	0.3%
Rockcastle	16K	R+73.1	986	6,635	7,724	0.3%
Breathitt	16K	R+59.3	1,002	4,036	5,113	0.2%
Casey	16K	R+76.4	804	6,216	7,080	0.3%
Casey	16K	R+76.4	804	6,216	7,080	0.3%
Knott	16K	R+59.1	1,181	4,732	6,003	0.2%
Breathitt	16K	R+59.3	1,002	4,036	5,113	0.2%
Casey	15K	R+76.4	804	6,216	7,080	0.3%
Fleming	15K	R+60.6	1,334	5,578	7,000	0.3%
Estill	15K	R+63.2	1,114	5,091	6,290	0.3%
Estill	15K	R+63.2	1,114	5,091	6,290	0.3%
Garrard	15K	R+60.2	1,719	7,086	8,917	0.4%
Fleming	15K	R+60.6	1,334	5,578	7,000	0.3%
Fleming	15K	R+60.6	1,334	5,578	7,000	0.3%
Estill	14K	R+63.2	1,114	5,091	6,290	0.3%
Morgan	14K	R+63.5	939	4,353	5,373	0.2%
Morgan	14K	R+63.5	939	4,353	5,373	0.2%
Estill	14K	R+63.2	1,114	5,091	6,290	0.3%
Morgan	14K	R+63.5	939	4,353	5,373	0.2%
Knott	14K	R+59.1	1,181	4,732	6,003	0.2%
Fleming	14K	R+60.6	1,334	5,578	7,000	0.3%
Powell	14K	R+54.4	1,174	4,092	5,360	0.2%
Jackson	13K	R+81.8	506	5,358	5,934	0.2%
Breathitt	13K	R+59.3	1,002	4,036	5,113	0.2%
Jackson	13K	R+81.8	506	5,358	5,934	0.2%
Morgan	13K	R+63.5	939	4,353	5,373	0.2%
Jackson	13K	R+81.8	506	5,358	5,934	0.2%
Magoffin	13K	R+64.1	909	4,288	5,274	0.2%
Breathitt	13K	R+59.3	1,002	4,036	5,113	0.2%
Powell	13K	R+54.4	1,174	4,092	5,360	0.2%
Magoffin	13K	R+64.1	909	4,288	5,274	0.2%
Jackson	13K	R+81.8	506	5,358	5,934	0.2%
Powell	13K	R+54.4	1,174	4,092	5,360	0.2%
Magoffin	13K	R+64.1	909	4,288	5,274	0.2%
Bath	13K	R+51.3	1,278	4,041	5,389	0.2%
Powell	12K	R+54.4	1,174	4,092	5,360	0.2%
Bath	12K	R+51.3	1,278	4,041	5,389	0.2%
Bath	12K	R+51.3	1,278	4,041	5,389	0.2%
Magoffin	11K	R+64.1	909	4,288	5,274	0.2%
Bath	11K	R+51.3	1,278	4,041	5,389	0.2%
Lee	8K	R+67.7	406	2,227	2,690	0.1%
Nicholas	8K	R+49.0	824	2,451	3,319	0.1%
Lee	7K	R+67.7	406	2,227	2,690	0.1%
Lee	7K	R+67.7	406	2,227	2,690	0.1%
Wolfe	7K	R+50.6	689	2,163	2,915	0.1%
Wolfe	7K	R+50.6	689	2,163	2,915	0.1%
Wolfe	7K	R+50.6	689	2,163	2,915	0.1%
Nicholas	7K	R+49.0	824	2,451	3,319	0.1%
Nicholas	7K	R+49.0	824	2,451	3,319	0.1%
Lee	7K	R+67.7	406	2,227	2,690	0.1%
Nicholas	7K	R+49.0	824	2,451	3,319	0.1%
Menifee	7K	R+57.6	664	2,563	3,294	0.1%
Menifee	7K	R+57.6	664	2,563	3,294	0.1%
Wolfe	6K	R+50.6	689	2,163	2,915	0.1%
Menifee	6K	R+57.6	664	2,563	3,294	0.1%
Menifee	6K	R+57.6	664	2,563	3,294	0.1%
Owsley	5K	R+77.3	203	1,625	1,839	0.1%
Owsley	5K	R+77.3	203	1,625	1,839	0.1%
Owsley	5K	R+77.3	203	1,625	1,839	0.1%
Owsley	4K	R+77.3	203	1,625	1,839	0.1%

160 countiesTotal votes: 2,433,288

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lexington's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lexington media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

LexingtonCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 88.1%Black 5.5%Hispanic 3.1%Multiracial 1.8%Asian 1.2%

Group	Lexington	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	88.1%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	5.5%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.1%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

45.8%(607.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -69.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	32.8%	71.6%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	13.2%	—	—
Catholic	3.1%	6.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.9%	4.2%	—	—
Other	1.9%	4.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	54.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lexington media market? 5,004,007 residents across 160 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Lexington vs National5.0M residents

24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.0M

local

5.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.49%

local

1.49%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.9%

local

38.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,203

local

$44,203National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.7%

local

19.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.6%

local

23.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.7%

local

66.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.2 yrs

local

37.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.4%

local

3.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.1%

local

5.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.9%

local

94.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lexington

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

60.7%

vs Previous

-1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

395K · 39.3%

Citizen VAP

1,002,953

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lexington split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (1/100)

2020 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+28.1	R+23.0	5.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 17.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lexington sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Kentucky(State)

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