How did Bend, OR vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Bend, OR voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.0. Kamala D Harris received 75,885 votes and Donald Trump received 74,316 out of 155,422 total votes cast, a 1.0-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Bend, OR's political history?

Bend, OR has 36 presidential elections on record, spanning 1884 to 2024. Democrats have won 15 and Republicans 21 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 49.4 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Bend, OR?

Bend, OR has a population of 820,273 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 85.0% non-Hispanic white, 8.5% Hispanic. About 31% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $62,018.

Which places are most similar to Bend, OR?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Bend, OR are Asheville, NC, Portland-South Portland, ME, Steamboat Springs, CO. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Bend, OR

High-desert boomtown where in-migration is rewriting the electoral map

Bend's Deschutes County shifted from reliably Republican toward competitive territory as the metro's population roughly doubled since 2000, driven by remote workers and retirees arriving from Oregon's liberal coastal cities.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 13460

Population820K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

41.1y▲ 2.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

30.7%▼ 4.3

White85.0%
Hispanic8.5%
Two or more4.3%
Other2.6%
Native2.4%
Asian0.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Bend, ORBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Asheville, NC, Portland-South Portland, ME, and Steamboat Springs, CO.

8 visible matches

Asheville, NC

Educated rural democratic

D+10.8

Similarity score96%

Portland-South Portland, ME

Educated rural democratic

D+24.6

Similarity score95%

Steamboat Springs, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+1.5

Similarity score95%

Traverse City, MI

Small-town rural republican

R+5.5

Similarity score93%

Durango, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+18.6

Similarity score91%

Truckee-Grass Valley, CA

Educated rural democratic

D+12.2

Similarity score90%

Oak Harbor, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+16.4

Similarity score90%

Rochester, MN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+1.0

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Bend, OR

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Deschutes	206K	D+10.4	68,108	54,850	127,375	20.5%
Deschutes	171K	D+10.4	68,108	54,850	127,375	20.5%
Deschutes	152K	D+10.4	68,108	54,850	127,375	20.5%
Deschutes	115K	D+10.4	68,108	54,850	127,375	20.5%
Crook	26K	R+50.2	3,836	12,012	16,297	2.6%
Jefferson	25K	R+29.9	3,941	7,454	11,750	1.9%
Crook	22K	R+50.2	3,836	12,012	16,297	2.6%
Jefferson	22K	R+29.9	3,941	7,454	11,750	1.9%
Crook	21K	R+50.2	3,836	12,012	16,297	2.6%
Jefferson	20K	R+29.9	3,941	7,454	11,750	1.9%
Crook	19K	R+50.2	3,836	12,012	16,297	2.6%
Jefferson	19K	R+29.9	3,941	7,454	11,750	1.9%

12 countiesTotal votes: 621,688

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Bend, OR's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Bend, OR metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Bend, ORCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 85.0%Hispanic 8.5%Multiracial 2.8%Native American 2.4%Asian 0.9%Black 0.4%

Group	Bend, OR	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	85.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	8.5%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.8%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8)	2.4%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	0.9%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(9)	0.4%	12.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

27.5%(71.0K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -37.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	14.7%	53.5%	—	—
Catholic	5.7%	20.8%	—	—
Other	5.3%	19.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.5%	9.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	1.7%	6.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	72.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Bend, OR metro area? 820,273 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Bend, OR vs National820K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

820K

local

820KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.24%

local

0.24%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

45.3%

local

45.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$62,018

local

$62,018National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.2%

local

11.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

30.7%

local

30.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.5%

local

69.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.1 yrs

local

41.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.7%

local

10.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.9%

local

14.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.6%

local

4.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.6%

local

7.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.4%

local

92.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Bend, OR

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

77.2%

vs Previous

+1.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

46K · 22.8%

Citizen VAP

201,400

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Bend, OR split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	D+1.8	R+11.7	13.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 17.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Bend, OR sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Oregon(State)

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