How did Portland-South Portland, ME vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Portland-South Portland, ME voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+24.6. Kamala D Harris received 214,067 votes and Donald Trump received 128,075 out of 349,950 total votes cast, a 1.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Portland-South Portland, ME's political history?

Portland-South Portland, ME has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 52.0 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Portland-South Portland, ME?

Portland-South Portland, ME has a population of 2,088,329 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 92.5% non-Hispanic white, 1.7% Hispanic, 1.7% Black. About 37% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $64,041.

Which places are most similar to Portland-South Portland, ME?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Portland-South Portland, ME are Asheville, NC, Bend, OR, Burlington-South Burlington, VT. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Portland-South Portland, ME

Maine's most densely Democratic metro, yet independent voters routinely reshape margins

Portland anchors Cumberland County, the state's most populous and most reliably left-leaning region, but Maine's strong independent voter culture means even this metro's outcomes resist straight-ticket prediction.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 38860

Population2.1M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

41.5y▲ 2.6

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

37.0%▲ 2.0

White92.5%
Two or more2.8%
Hispanic1.7%
Black1.7%
Asian1.4%
Other0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Portland-South Portland, MEBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Asheville, NC, Bend, OR, and Burlington-South Burlington, VT.

8 visible matches

Asheville, NC

Educated rural democratic

D+10.8

Similarity score95%

Bend, OR

Educated rural democratic

D+1.0

Similarity score95%

Burlington-South Burlington, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+41.5

Similarity score95%

Barre, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score95%

Concord, NH

Educated rural democratic

D+5.2

Similarity score94%

Cedar Rapids, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

D+3.0

Similarity score94%

Charlottesville, VA

Educated rural democratic

D+26.6

Similarity score93%

Durango, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+18.6

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Portland-South Portland, ME

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cumberland	309K	D+35.3	127,971	59,964	192,656	13.8%
Cumberland	288K	D+35.3	127,971	59,964	192,656	13.8%
Cumberland	276K	D+35.3	127,971	59,964	192,656	13.8%
Cumberland	266K	D+35.3	127,971	59,964	192,656	13.8%
York	217K	D+10.5	72,114	58,194	132,838	9.5%
York	201K	D+10.5	72,114	58,194	132,838	9.5%
York	201K	D+10.5	72,114	58,194	132,838	9.5%
York	187K	D+10.5	72,114	58,194	132,838	9.5%
Sagadahoc	37K	D+16.6	13,982	9,917	24,456	1.7%
Sagadahoc	37K	D+16.6	13,982	9,917	24,456	1.7%
Sagadahoc	35K	D+16.6	13,982	9,917	24,456	1.7%
Sagadahoc	35K	D+16.6	13,982	9,917	24,456	1.7%

12 countiesTotal votes: 1,399,800

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Portland-South Portland, ME's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Portland-South Portland, ME metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Portland-South Portland, MECensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 92.5%Multiracial 2.5%Hispanic 1.7%Black 1.7%Asian 1.4%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	92.5%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	1.7%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	1.7%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.7%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

31.5%(177.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	17.1%	54.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.0%	15.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.6%	14.5%	—	—
Other	4.4%	14.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	2.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	68.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Portland-South Portland, ME metro area? 2,088,329 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Portland-South Portland, ME vs National2.1M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.1M

local

2.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.62%

local

0.62%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.1%

local

41.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$64,041

local

$64,041National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.9%

local

8.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.0%

local

37.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.2%

local

71.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.5 yrs

local

41.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.0%

local

11.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5%

local

13.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.4%

local

4.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.1%

local

7.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.9%

local

92.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Portland-South Portland, ME

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

77.8%

vs Previous

+0.6pp

Eligible Non-Voters

100K · 22.2%

Citizen VAP

449,961

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Portland-South Portland, ME split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+24.6	D+26.8	2.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 27.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Portland-South Portland, ME sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Maine(State)

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