How did Asheville, NC vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Asheville, NC voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+10.8. Kamala D Harris received 133,113 votes and Donald Trump received 106,788 out of 244,105 total votes cast, a 3.3-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Asheville, NC's political history?

Asheville, NC has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 50.6 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Asheville, NC?

Asheville, NC has a population of 1,458,425 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.9% non-Hispanic white, 6.6% Hispanic, 5.1% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $50,575.

Which places are most similar to Asheville, NC?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Asheville, NC are Bend, OR, Portland-South Portland, ME, Oak Harbor, WA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Asheville, NC

Blue enclave in a mountain swing corridor

The Asheville metro's Buncombe County votes reliably Democratic while surrounding mountain counties tilt Republican, making the region a study in how urban density and in-migration reshape partisan geography within a single media market.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 11700

Population1.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

42.4y▲ 3.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

33.0%▼ 2.0

White84.9%
Hispanic6.6%
Black5.1%
Two or more3.7%
Other2.1%
Asian1.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Asheville, NCBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Bend, OR, Portland-South Portland, ME, and Oak Harbor, WA.

8 visible matches

Bend, OR

Educated rural democratic

D+1.0

Similarity score96%

Portland-South Portland, ME

Educated rural democratic

D+24.6

Similarity score95%

Oak Harbor, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+16.4

Similarity score91%

Durango, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+18.6

Similarity score91%

Traverse City, MI

Small-town rural republican

R+5.5

Similarity score90%

Port Townsend, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+45.1

Similarity score90%

Truckee-Grass Valley, CA

Educated rural democratic

D+12.2

Similarity score89%

Hudson, NY

Educated rural democratic

D+14.6

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Asheville, NC

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Buncombe	274K	D+24.7	98,662	59,016	160,510	16.4%
Buncombe	250K	D+24.7	98,662	59,016	160,510	16.4%
Buncombe	226K	D+24.7	98,662	59,016	160,510	16.4%
Buncombe	206K	D+24.7	98,662	59,016	160,510	16.4%
Henderson	118K	R+14.5	29,361	39,497	69,974	7.2%
Henderson	111K	R+14.5	29,361	39,497	69,974	7.2%
Henderson	100K	R+14.5	29,361	39,497	69,974	7.2%
Henderson	89K	R+14.5	29,361	39,497	69,974	7.2%
Madison	22K	R+23.4	5,090	8,275	13,621	1.4%
Madison	21K	R+23.4	5,090	8,275	13,621	1.4%
Madison	20K	R+23.4	5,090	8,275	13,621	1.4%
Madison	20K	R+23.4	5,090	8,275	13,621	1.4%

12 countiesTotal votes: 976,420

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Asheville, NC's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Asheville, NC metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Asheville, NCCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.9%Hispanic 6.6%Black 5.1%Multiracial 2.1%Asian 1.0%Native American 0.4%

Group	Asheville, NC	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.9%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	6.6%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(12)	5.1%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.0%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

50.5%(209.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -52.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	31.9%	63.1%	—	—
Catholic	7.9%	15.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.9%	13.8%	—	—
Other	2.3%	4.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.3%	2.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.3%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	49.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Asheville, NC metro area? 1,458,425 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Asheville, NC vs National1.5M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.5M

local

1.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.44%

local

0.44%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.1%

local

43.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$50,575

local

$50,575National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.8%

local

12.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.0%

local

33.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.0%

local

70.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.4 yrs

local

42.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.8%

local

10.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.9%

local

15.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.0%

local

8.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.0%

local

92.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Asheville, NC

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

75.2%

vs Previous

+0.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

81K · 24.8%

Citizen VAP

324,627

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Asheville, NC split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (64/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+10.8	D+27.0	16.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 7.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Asheville, NC sits inside these higher-level geographies.

North Carolina(State)

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