How did Bismarck, ND vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Bismarck, ND voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+45.8. Kamala D Harris received 18,119 votes and Donald Trump received 50,343 out of 70,386 total votes cast, a 2.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Bismarck, ND's political history?

Bismarck, ND has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 67.2 points in 1940.

What are the demographics of Bismarck, ND?

Bismarck, ND has a population of 459,484 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.5% non-Hispanic white, 2.0% Hispanic. About 31% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $62,856.

Which places are most similar to Bismarck, ND?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Bismarck, ND are Billings, MT, Jefferson City, MO, Rapid City, SD. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Bismarck, ND

State-capital metro anchoring North Dakota's political and economic center

Bismarck's metro tilts heavily Republican in statewide contests, reflecting its energy-sector workforce and largely non-Native demographic composition, while the city itself hosts the governmental institutions that draw a modestly more diverse professional class.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 13900

Population459K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.4y▼ 1.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

31.1%▼ 3.9

White90.5%
Native3.5%
Two or more2.8%
Hispanic2.0%
Black1.0%
Asian0.6%
Other0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Bismarck, NDBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Billings, MT, Jefferson City, MO, and Rapid City, SD.

8 visible matches

Billings, MT

Small-town rural republican 2

R+29.7

Similarity score93%

Jefferson City, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.5

Similarity score92%

Rapid City, SD

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.6

Similarity score92%

Kearney, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+46.7

Similarity score90%

Dickinson, ND

Small-town rural republican 3

R+65.8

Similarity score90%

Effingham, IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.7

Similarity score88%

Hastings, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.5

Similarity score88%

Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL

Small-town rural republican 2

R+47.1

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Bismarck, ND

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Burleigh	101K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	18.6%
Burleigh	91K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	18.6%
Burleigh	77K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	18.6%
Burleigh	69K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	18.6%
Morton	34K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	6.1%
Morton	30K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	6.1%
Morton	26K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	6.1%
Morton	25K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	6.1%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.4%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.4%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.4%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.4%

12 countiesTotal votes: 281,544

Historian Query

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“How has the Bismarck, ND metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Bismarck, NDCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.5%Native American 3.5%Multiracial 2.3%Hispanic 2.0%Black 1.0%Asian 0.6%

Group	Bismarck, ND	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.5%	57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	3.5%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	2.3%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	2.0%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(10)	1.0%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

57.8%(78.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +23.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	28.1%	48.6%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	15.6%	27.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	12.1%	21.0%	—	—
Other	1.9%	3.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	1.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	42.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Bismarck, ND metro area? 459,484 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Bismarck, ND vs National459K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

459K

local

459KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.14%

local

0.14%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.5%

local

41.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$62,856

local

$62,856National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.2%

local

8.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.1%

local

31.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.4%

local

71.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.4 yrs

local

37.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.2%

local

13.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.9%

local

1.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.3%

local

5.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.7%

local

94.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Bismarck, ND

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

68.5%

vs Previous

+1.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

32K · 31.5%

Citizen VAP

102,784

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Bismarck, ND split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+41.0	R+50.7	9.7pp
President vs Governor	R+45.8	R+50.7	4.9pp
President vs Senate	R+45.8	R+41.0	4.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 22.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Bismarck, ND sits inside these higher-level geographies.

North Dakota(State)

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