Missouri's capital metro, where state-government employment anchors a mid-size conservative core
Jefferson City anchors Cole County, one of Missouri's most reliably Republican metros, yet its government workforce and proximity to the University of Missouri create a distinct professional-class voter bloc that moderates margins relative to surrounding rural counties.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole | 77K | R+34.4 | 12,874 | 26,686 | 40,152 | 13.1% |
| Cole | 77K | R+34.4 | 12,874 | 26,686 | 40,152 | 13.1% |
| Cole | 74K | R+34.4 | 12,874 | 26,686 | 40,152 | 13.1% |
| Cole | 71K | R+34.4 | 12,874 | 26,686 | 40,152 | 13.1% |
| Callaway | 45K | R+43.3 | 5,926 | 15,206 | 21,455 | 7.0% |
| Callaway | 45K | R+43.3 | 5,926 | 15,206 | 21,455 | 7.0% |
| Callaway | 43K | R+43.3 | 5,926 | 15,206 | 21,455 | 7.0% |
| Callaway | 41K | R+43.3 | 5,926 | 15,206 | 21,455 | 7.0% |
| Moniteau | 16K | R+62.7 | 1,313 | 5,877 | 7,275 | 2.4% |
| Moniteau | 15K | R+62.7 | 1,313 | 5,877 | 7,275 | 2.4% |
| Moniteau | 15K | R+62.7 | 1,313 | 5,877 | 7,275 | 2.4% |
| Moniteau | 15K | R+62.7 | 1,313 | 5,877 | 7,275 | 2.4% |
| Osage | 14K | R+73.1 | 1,009 | 6,657 | 7,727 | 2.5% |
| Osage | 13K | R+73.1 | 1,009 | 6,657 | 7,727 | 2.5% |
| Osage | 13K | R+73.1 | 1,009 | 6,657 | 7,727 | 2.5% |
| Osage | 13K | R+73.1 | 1,009 | 6,657 | 7,727 | 2.5% |
| Group | Jefferson City, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 6.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 2.2% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -15.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 46.9% | — | — | |
| 18.5% | 36.3% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.9% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Jefferson City, MO metro area? 586,760 residents across 16 counties.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+36.3 | R+50.2 | 13.8pp |
| President vs Senate | R+43.5 | R+36.3 | 7.1pp |
| President vs Governor | R+43.5 | R+50.2 | 6.7pp |