How did Missoula, MT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Missoula, MT voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+18.8. Kamala D Harris received 43,592 votes and Donald Trump received 29,355 out of 75,606 total votes cast, a 2.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Missoula, MT's political history?

Missoula, MT has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2004. The largest single-election swing was 66.6 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Missoula, MT?

Missoula, MT has a population of 452,176 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.9% non-Hispanic white, 3.1% Hispanic. About 39% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $50,885.

Live · Metropolitan area

Missoula, MT

Q: Which places are most similar to Missoula, MT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Missoula, MT are Burlington-South Burlington, VT, Fort Collins-Loveland, CO, Madison, WI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Montana's college hub swings Democratic in a reliably red state

Home to the University of Montana, Missoula County has voted Democratic in recent presidential cycles by double-digit margins, making it one of the sharpest blue outliers in a state that leans heavily Republican statewide.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 33540

Population452K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

35.2y▼ 3.7

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

39.4%▲ 4.4

White89.9%
Two or more3.8%
Hispanic3.1%
Native2.2%
Asian1.2%
Other0.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Missoula, MTBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Burlington-South Burlington, VT, Fort Collins-Loveland, CO, and Madison, WI.

8 visible matches

Burlington-South Burlington, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+41.5

Similarity score95%

Fort Collins-Loveland, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+17.6

Similarity score94%

Madison, WI

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score94%

Kalamazoo-Portage, MI

Educated rural democratic

D+17.7

Similarity score94%

Bellingham, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+24.7

Similarity score94%

Bozeman, MT

Educated rural competitive

D+3.2

Similarity score94%

Boulder, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+55.8

Similarity score93%

Eugene-Springfield, OR

Educated rural democratic

D+22.9

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Missoula, MT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Missoula	121K	D+21.4	42,903	27,306	72,773	24.1%
Missoula	113K	D+21.4	42,903	27,306	72,773	24.1%
Missoula	106K	D+21.4	42,903	27,306	72,773	24.1%
Missoula	96K	D+21.4	42,903	27,306	72,773	24.1%
Mineral	5K	R+48.0	689	2,049	2,833	0.9%
Mineral	4K	R+48.0	689	2,049	2,833	0.9%
Mineral	4K	R+48.0	689	2,049	2,833	0.9%
Mineral	4K	R+48.0	689	2,049	2,833	0.9%

8 countiesTotal votes: 302,424

Historian Query

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Explore Missoula, MT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Missoula, MT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Missoula, MTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.9%Hispanic 3.1%Multiracial 3.1%Native American 2.2%Asian 1.2%Black 0.4%

Group	Missoula, MT	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.9%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.1%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.1%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	2.2%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(5)	0.4%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

26.0%(32.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	8.9%	34.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	8.4%	32.4%	—	—
Other	5.5%	21.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	4.2%	16.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.9%	11.3%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	74.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Missoula, MT metro area? 452,176 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Missoula, MT vs National452K residents

39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

452K

local

452KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.14%

local

0.14%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.2%

local

42.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$50,885

local

$50,885National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.7%

local

14.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.4%

local

39.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

60.0%

local

60.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.2 yrs

local

35.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.7%

local

17.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.2%

local

11.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.5%

local

2.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.4%

local

4.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.6%

local

95.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Missoula, MT

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

74.8%

vs Previous

+1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

25K · 25.2%

Citizen VAP

101,099

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Missoula, MT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (27/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+18.8	D+31.2	12.4pp
Senate vs Governor	D+31.2	D+19.0	12.2pp
President vs Governor	D+18.8	D+19.0	0.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Missoula, MT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Montana(State)

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