How did Burlington-South Burlington, VT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Burlington-South Burlington, VT voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+41.5. Kamala D Harris received 88,876 votes and Donald Trump received 35,320 out of 129,073 total votes cast, a 2.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Burlington-South Burlington, VT's political history?

Burlington-South Burlington, VT has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 46.3 points in 1928.

What are the demographics of Burlington-South Burlington, VT?

Burlington-South Burlington, VT has a population of 849,175 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 91.3% non-Hispanic white, 1.8% Hispanic, 1.5% Black. About 42% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $66,970.

Which places are most similar to Burlington-South Burlington, VT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Burlington-South Burlington, VT are Boulder, CO, Charlottesville, VA, Madison, WI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Burlington-South Burlington, VT

Vermont's most populous metro, where college-town density shapes statewide margins

Home to the University of Vermont and a compact urban core on Lake Champlain, the Burlington metro consistently delivers the state's largest Democratic vote margins, anchoring Vermont's federal election outcomes despite the state's otherwise rural character.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 15540

Population849K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.9y▼ 2.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

42.1%▲ 7.1

White91.3%
Two or more3.0%
Asian2.4%
Hispanic1.8%
Black1.5%
Other0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Burlington-South Burlington, VTBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Boulder, CO, Charlottesville, VA, and Madison, WI.

8 visible matches

Boulder, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+55.8

Similarity score97%

Charlottesville, VA

Educated rural democratic

D+26.6

Similarity score97%

Madison, WI

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score97%

Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

Educated rural democratic

D+41.7

Similarity score95%

Missoula, MT

Educated rural democratic

D+18.8

Similarity score95%

Barre, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score95%

Portland-South Portland, ME

Educated rural democratic

D+24.6

Similarity score95%

Ann Arbor, MI

Educated rural democratic

D+44.4

Similarity score94%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Burlington-South Burlington, VT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Chittenden	170K	D+53.1	72,656	20,937	97,329	18.9%
Chittenden	161K	D+53.1	72,656	20,937	97,329	18.9%
Chittenden	151K	D+53.1	72,656	20,937	97,329	18.9%
Chittenden	147K	D+53.1	72,656	20,937	97,329	18.9%
Franklin	51K	D+3.0	13,280	12,490	26,743	5.2%
Franklin	49K	D+3.0	13,280	12,490	26,743	5.2%
Franklin	48K	D+3.0	13,280	12,490	26,743	5.2%
Franklin	45K	D+3.0	13,280	12,490	26,743	5.2%
Grand Isle	8K	D+20.9	2,940	1,893	5,001	1.0%
Grand Isle	7K	D+20.9	2,940	1,893	5,001	1.0%
Grand Isle	7K	D+20.9	2,940	1,893	5,001	1.0%
Grand Isle	7K	D+20.9	2,940	1,893	5,001	1.0%

12 countiesTotal votes: 516,292

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Burlington-South Burlington, VT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Burlington-South Burlington, VT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Burlington-South Burlington, VTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 91.3%Multiracial 2.6%Asian 2.4%Hispanic 1.8%Black 1.5%Native American 0.4%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.3%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.6%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.4%	6.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	1.8%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(12)	1.5%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	1.0%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

48.6%(110.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	30.1%	62.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	9.3%	19.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.9%	10.1%	—	—
Other	4.1%	8.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	51.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Burlington-South Burlington, VT metro area? 849,175 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Burlington-South Burlington, VT vs National849K residents

42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

849K

local

849KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.25%

local

0.25%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.9%

local

39.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$66,970

local

$66,970National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.0%

local

10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.1%

local

42.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.0%

local

68.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.9 yrs

local

36.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.6%

local

15.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.7%

local

10.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.0%

local

6.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.6%

local

7.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.4%

local

92.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Burlington-South Burlington, VT

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

71.0%

vs Previous

-0.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

53K · 29.0%

Citizen VAP

181,842

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Burlington-South Burlington, VT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+41.5	R+48.6	90.1pp
Senate vs Governor	D+39.6	R+48.6	88.2pp
President vs Senate	D+41.5	D+39.6	1.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 46.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Burlington-South Burlington, VT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Vermont(State)

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