How did Cleveland, OH vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Cleveland, OH voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+9.5. Kamala D Harris received 580,795 votes and Donald Trump received 479,193 out of 1,069,419 total votes cast, a 3.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Cleveland, OH's political history?

Cleveland, OH has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976. The largest single-election swing was 46.6 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Cleveland, OH?

Cleveland, OH has a population of 8,786,398 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 72.3% non-Hispanic white, 4.9% Hispanic, 18.7% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $53,306.

Which places are most similar to Cleveland, OH?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Cleveland, OH are Rochester, NY, Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Toledo, OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Cleveland, OH

A Rust Belt anchor where turnout patterns split sharply by suburb

Greater Cleveland's electoral math turns on the gap between Cuyahoga County's dense urban core and its ring of historically competitive inner suburbs, making countywide margins a reliable bellwether for statewide contests.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 17410

Population8.8M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39.9y▲ 1.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

27.9%▼ 7.0

White72.3%
Black18.7%
Hispanic4.9%
Two or more3.2%
Asian1.9%
Other1.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Cleveland, OHBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Rochester, NY, Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, and Toledo, OH.

8 visible matches

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+8.5

Similarity score95%

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+7.1

Similarity score95%

Toledo, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+2.7

Similarity score94%

Richmond, VA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+13.4

Similarity score93%

Akron, OH

Small-town rural republican 2

D+1.7

Similarity score92%

Columbus, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.0

Similarity score92%

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.4

Similarity score92%

Pittsburgh, PA

Educated rural competitive 2

R+4.5

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Cleveland, OH

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cuyahoga	1.4M	D+31.4	376,384	195,164	576,520	13.5%
Cuyahoga	1.3M	D+31.4	376,384	195,164	576,520	13.5%
Cuyahoga	1.3M	D+31.4	376,384	195,164	576,520	13.5%
Cuyahoga	1.2M	D+31.4	376,384	195,164	576,520	13.5%
Lorain	317K	R+5.7	74,207	83,297	159,007	3.7%
Lorain	304K	R+5.7	74,207	83,297	159,007	3.7%
Lorain	303K	R+5.7	74,207	83,297	159,007	3.7%
Lorain	285K	R+5.7	74,207	83,297	159,007	3.7%
Lake	235K	R+14.3	54,484	72,924	128,579	3.0%
Lake	232K	R+14.3	54,484	72,924	128,579	3.0%
Lake	229K	R+14.3	54,484	72,924	128,579	3.0%
Lake	228K	R+14.3	54,484	72,924	128,579	3.0%
Medina	184K	R+24.8	39,771	66,308	107,045	2.5%
Medina	176K	R+24.8	39,771	66,308	107,045	2.5%
Medina	170K	R+24.8	39,771	66,308	107,045	2.5%
Medina	151K	R+24.8	39,771	66,308	107,045	2.5%
Ashtabula	103K	R+28.4	15,345	27,656	43,374	1.0%
Ashtabula	101K	R+28.4	15,345	27,656	43,374	1.0%
Ashtabula	99K	R+28.4	15,345	27,656	43,374	1.0%
Geauga	98K	R+24.1	20,604	33,844	54,894	1.3%
Ashtabula	97K	R+28.4	15,345	27,656	43,374	1.0%
Geauga	95K	R+24.1	20,604	33,844	54,894	1.3%
Geauga	94K	R+24.1	20,604	33,844	54,894	1.3%
Geauga	91K	R+24.1	20,604	33,844	54,894	1.3%

24 countiesTotal votes: 4,277,676

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Cleveland, OH's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Cleveland, OH metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Cleveland, OHCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 72.3%Black 18.7%Hispanic 4.9%Multiracial 2.0%Asian 1.9%

Group	Cleveland, OH	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	72.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(14)	18.7%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	4.9%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.0%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.9%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.1%(1.2M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +14.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	25.6%	46.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	15.2%	27.6%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.8%	10.5%	—	—
Other	4.3%	7.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.4%	6.2%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.8%	1.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Cleveland, OH metro area? 8,786,398 residents across 24 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Cleveland, OH vs National8.8M residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.8M

local

8.8MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.62%

local

2.62%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.7%

local

37.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$53,306

local

$53,306National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.9%

local

27.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.1%

local

67.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.9 yrs

local

39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.8%

local

10.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.5%

local

5.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.7%

local

9.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.3%

local

90.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cleveland, OH

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

63.7%

vs Previous

-3.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

610K · 36.3%

Citizen VAP

1,679,240

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cleveland, OH split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (9/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+9.5	D+17.4	7.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Cleveland, OH sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Ohio(State)

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