How did Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+7.1. Kamala D Harris received 1,268,213 votes and Donald Trump received 1,095,203 out of 2,422,398 total votes cast, a 6.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI's political history?

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 54.8 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI?

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI has a population of 17,578,664 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 67.3% non-Hispanic white, 4.0% Hispanic, 22.3% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $59,408.

Which places are most similar to Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI are Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Cleveland, OH, Rochester, NY. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

Anchor of Michigan's electoral math, with one of the nation's largest Arab-American enclaves

The Detroit metro delivers lopsided Democratic margins in Wayne County while Macomb County swings between parties, making the combined suburban-urban balance a reliable bellwether for statewide outcomes.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 19820

Population17.6M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.3y▼ 0.6

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

28.2%▼ 6.8

White67.3%
Black22.3%
Hispanic4.0%
Asian3.6%
Two or more3.2%
Other1.4%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MIBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Cleveland, OH, and Rochester, NY.

8 visible matches

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+23.3

Similarity score95%

Cleveland, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.5

Similarity score95%

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+8.5

Similarity score94%

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+13.7

Similarity score93%

Columbus, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.0

Similarity score93%

Richmond, VA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+13.4

Similarity score93%

Jacksonville, FL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+18.3

Similarity score93%

Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.9

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Wayne	2.1M	D+29.0	537,032	288,860	856,690	8.8%
Wayne	2.0M	D+29.0	537,032	288,860	856,690	8.8%
Wayne	1.8M	D+29.0	537,032	288,860	856,690	8.8%
Wayne	1.8M	D+29.0	537,032	288,860	856,690	8.8%
Oakland	1.3M	D+10.6	419,519	337,791	772,145	8.0%
Oakland	1.2M	D+10.6	419,519	337,791	772,145	8.0%
Oakland	1.2M	D+10.6	419,519	337,791	772,145	8.0%
Oakland	1.2M	D+10.6	419,519	337,791	772,145	8.0%
Macomb	880K	R+13.7	214,977	284,660	509,152	5.3%
Macomb	860K	R+13.7	214,977	284,660	509,152	5.3%
Macomb	828K	R+13.7	214,977	284,660	509,152	5.3%
Macomb	788K	R+13.7	214,977	284,660	509,152	5.3%
Livingston	196K	R+23.9	49,503	81,217	132,448	1.4%
Livingston	186K	R+23.9	49,503	81,217	132,448	1.4%
Livingston	182K	R+23.9	49,503	81,217	132,448	1.4%
St. Clair	169K	R+34.6	30,844	64,277	96,524	1.0%
St. Clair	164K	R+34.6	30,844	64,277	96,524	1.0%
St. Clair	160K	R+34.6	30,844	64,277	96,524	1.0%
St. Clair	160K	R+34.6	30,844	64,277	96,524	1.0%
Livingston	157K	R+23.9	49,503	81,217	132,448	1.4%
Lapeer	91K	R+39.8	16,338	38,398	55,439	0.6%
Lapeer	89K	R+39.8	16,338	38,398	55,439	0.6%
Lapeer	88K	R+39.8	16,338	38,398	55,439	0.6%
Lapeer	88K	R+39.8	16,338	38,398	55,439	0.6%

24 countiesTotal votes: 9,689,592

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MICensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 67.3%Black 22.3%Hispanic 4.0%Asian 3.6%Multiracial 2.5%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	67.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	22.3%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	4.4%	0.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	4.0%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	3.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

43.9%(1.9M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +17.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	18.7%	42.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	9.1%	20.8%	—	—
Other	6.9%	15.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	5.0%	11.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.4%	7.6%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.8%	1.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.3%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	56.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI metro area? 17,578,664 residents across 24 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI vs National17.6M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.6M

local

17.6MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.25%

local

5.25%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.8%

local

37.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$59,408

local

$59,408National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.2%

local

28.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.6%

local

71.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.3 yrs

local

38.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.0%

local

9.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

87.3%

local

87.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

74.2%

vs Previous

+0.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

843K · 25.8%

Citizen VAP

3,264,980

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (60/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+7.1	D+9.8	2.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Michigan(State)

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