How did Toledo, OH vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Toledo, OH voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+2.7. Kamala D Harris received 142,710 votes and Donald Trump received 135,168 out of 280,649 total votes cast, a 4.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Toledo, OH's political history?

Toledo, OH has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 50.4 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Toledo, OH?

Toledo, OH has a population of 2,459,622 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 76.4% non-Hispanic white, 5.9% Hispanic, 13.7% Black. About 25% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $49,353.

Which places are most similar to Toledo, OH?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Toledo, OH are Cleveland, OH, Akron, OH, New Orleans-Metairie, LA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Toledo, OH

A Lake Erie industrial hub where union households still shape the ballot

Toledo's Lucas County anchors a metro that has swung between parties in presidential cycles, with manufacturing employment and a substantial Latino community in the city core acting as persistent variables in turnout models.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 45780

Population2.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.5y▼ 2.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

25.0%▼ 10.0

White76.4%
Black13.7%
Hispanic5.9%
Two or more3.7%
Other2.0%
Asian1.4%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Toledo, OHBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Cleveland, OH, Akron, OH, and New Orleans-Metairie, LA.

8 visible matches

Cleveland, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.5

Similarity score94%

Akron, OH

Small-town rural republican 2

D+1.7

Similarity score90%

New Orleans-Metairie, LA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+16.9

Similarity score90%

Tallahassee, FL

Educated rural competitive

D+14.7

Similarity score90%

Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH

Small-town rural republican 2

R+10.7

Similarity score89%

Syracuse, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+6.9

Similarity score89%

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.4

Similarity score89%

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+8.5

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Toledo, OH

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lucas	465K	D+12.6	106,320	82,398	190,609	17.0%
Lucas	455K	D+12.6	106,320	82,398	190,609	17.0%
Lucas	435K	D+12.6	106,320	82,398	190,609	17.0%
Lucas	428K	D+12.6	106,320	82,398	190,609	17.0%
Wood	132K	R+10.2	30,016	36,877	67,586	6.0%
Wood	129K	R+10.2	30,016	36,877	67,586	6.0%
Wood	125K	R+10.2	30,016	36,877	67,586	6.0%
Wood	121K	R+10.2	30,016	36,877	67,586	6.0%
Fulton	42K	R+42.4	6,374	15,893	22,454	2.0%
Fulton	42K	R+42.4	6,374	15,893	22,454	2.0%
Fulton	42K	R+42.4	6,374	15,893	22,454	2.0%
Fulton	42K	R+42.4	6,374	15,893	22,454	2.0%

12 countiesTotal votes: 1,122,596

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Toledo, OH's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Toledo, OH metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Toledo, OHCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 76.4%Black 13.7%Hispanic 5.9%Multiracial 2.3%Asian 1.4%

Group	Toledo, OH	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	76.4%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(14)	13.7%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	5.9%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.3%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

45.0%(270.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	16.4%	36.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	13.9%	30.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.0%	17.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.2%	7.1%	—	—
Other	3.2%	7.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	55.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Toledo, OH metro area? 2,459,622 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Toledo, OH vs National2.5M residents

25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.5M

local

2.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.73%

local

0.73%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.8%

local

36.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$49,353

local

$49,353National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.7%

local

15.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.0%

local

25.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.5%

local

65.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.5 yrs

local

36.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.3%

local

3.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.1%

local

6.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.9%

local

93.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Toledo, OH

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

61.0%

vs Previous

-2.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

179K · 39.0%

Citizen VAP

459,803

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Toledo, OH split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (9/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+2.7	D+9.4	6.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Toledo, OH sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Ohio(State)

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