A Missouri-rooted metro where Republican margins have widened each cycle since 2008
Anchored by Cape Girardeau, Missouri, this small Mississippi River metro draws its political character from rural Bootheel counties and a regional university town that hasn't bucked the area's deepening rightward trend.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Girardeau | 83K | R+46.5 | 10,561 | 29,315 | 40,353 | 20.7% |
| Cape Girardeau | 78K | R+46.5 | 10,561 | 29,315 | 40,353 | 20.7% |
| Cape Girardeau | 73K | R+46.5 | 10,561 | 29,315 | 40,353 | 20.7% |
| Cape Girardeau | 69K | R+46.5 | 10,561 | 29,315 | 40,353 | 20.7% |
| Bollinger | 12K | R+74.8 | 756 | 5,365 | 6,161 | 3.2% |
| Bollinger | 12K | R+74.8 | 756 | 5,365 | 6,161 | 3.2% |
| Bollinger | 12K | R+74.8 | 756 | 5,365 | 6,161 | 3.2% |
| Bollinger | 11K | R+74.8 | 756 | 5,365 | 6,161 | 3.2% |
| Alexander | 10K | R+19.2 | 904 | 1,341 | 2,271 | 1.2% |
| Alexander | 8K | R+19.2 | 904 | 1,341 | 2,271 | 1.2% |
| Alexander | 7K | R+19.2 | 904 | 1,341 | 2,271 | 1.2% |
| Alexander | 5K | R+19.2 | 904 | 1,341 | 2,271 | 1.2% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 8.0% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 1.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -40.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 56.2% | — | — | |
| 11.2% | 20.1% | — | — | |
| 10.1% | 18.1% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Cape Girardeau, MO-IL metro area? 378,815 residents across 12 counties.
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+48.8 | R+53.8 | 5.1pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+50.5 | R+53.8 | 3.3pp |
| President vs Senate | R+48.8 | R+50.5 | 1.7pp |