Arkansas's capitol metro where suburban growth is reshaping old margins
Home to state government, a major medical corridor, and fast-growing Faulkner County, the Little Rock metro has trended more competitive at the suburban edges even as its urban core anchors the state's heaviest Democratic vote share.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulaski | 400K | D+22.1 | 92,038 | 57,977 | 153,924 | 12.4% |
| Pulaski | 392K | D+22.1 | 92,038 | 57,977 | 153,924 | 12.4% |
| Pulaski | 376K | D+22.1 | 92,038 | 57,977 | 153,924 | 12.4% |
| Pulaski | 361K | D+22.1 | 92,038 | 57,977 | 153,924 | 12.4% |
| Faulkner | 128K | R+32.3 | 17,752 | 35,357 | 54,465 | 4.4% |
| Saline | 127K | R+40.1 | 16,609 | 39,736 | 57,609 | 4.7% |
| Faulkner | 120K | R+32.3 | 17,752 | 35,357 | 54,465 | 4.4% |
| Saline | 116K | R+40.1 | 16,609 | 39,736 | 57,609 | 4.7% |
| Faulkner | 104K | R+32.3 | 17,752 | 35,357 | 54,465 | 4.4% |
| Saline | 95K | R+40.1 | 16,609 | 39,736 | 57,609 | 4.7% |
| Faulkner | 86K | R+32.3 | 17,752 | 35,357 | 54,465 | 4.4% |
| Saline | 84K | R+40.1 | 16,609 | 39,736 | 57,609 | 4.7% |
| Lonoke | 75K | R+53.7 | 6,790 | 23,225 | 30,620 | 2.5% |
| Lonoke | 71K | R+53.7 | 6,790 | 23,225 | 30,620 | 2.5% |
| Lonoke | 63K | R+53.7 | 6,790 | 23,225 | 30,620 | 2.5% |
| Lonoke | 53K | R+53.7 | 6,790 | 23,225 | 30,620 | 2.5% |
| Grant | 18K | R+68.9 | 1,192 | 6,755 | 8,078 | 0.7% |
| Grant | 18K | R+68.9 | 1,192 | 6,755 | 8,078 | 0.7% |
| Grant | 18K | R+68.9 | 1,192 | 6,755 | 8,078 | 0.7% |
| Grant | 16K | R+68.9 | 1,192 | 6,755 | 8,078 | 0.7% |
| Perry | 10K | R+57.5 | 923 | 3,559 | 4,584 | 0.4% |
| Perry | 10K | R+57.5 | 923 | 3,559 | 4,584 | 0.4% |
| Perry | 10K | R+57.5 | 923 | 3,559 | 4,584 | 0.4% |
| Perry | 10K | R+57.5 | 923 | 3,559 | 4,584 | 0.4% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 22.5% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.7% | 59.1% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 15.6% | — | — | |
| 6.5% | 12.2% | — | — | |
| 4.8% | 8.9% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 4.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.5% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR metro area? 2,762,766 residents across 24 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+16.1 | R+7.3 | 8.8pp |