How did Fort Smith, AR-OK vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fort Smith, AR-OK voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+47.7. Kamala D Harris received 21,312 votes and Donald Trump received 61,825 out of 84,869 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fort Smith, AR-OK's political history?

Fort Smith, AR-OK has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 61.7 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Fort Smith, AR-OK?

Fort Smith, AR-OK has a population of 888,762 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 74.7% non-Hispanic white, 8.8% Hispanic, 4.0% Black. About 17% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $42,580.

Which places are most similar to Fort Smith, AR-OK?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Fort Smith, AR-OK are Joplin, MO-KS, St. Joseph, MO-KS, Ontario, OR-ID. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Fort Smith, AR-OK

Arkansas River crossroads where two states share one labor market

Fort Smith's metro spans the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, anchoring a manufacturing and logistics corridor where cross-state commuting patterns complicate standard district-level turnout analysis.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 22900

Population889K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.3y▼ 1.6

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

16.6%▼ 18.3

White74.7%
Hispanic8.8%
Two or more6.9%
Native4.2%
Black4.0%
Other3.7%
Asian2.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Fort Smith, AR-OKBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Joplin, MO-KS, St. Joseph, MO-KS, and Ontario, OR-ID.

8 visible matches

Joplin, MO-KS

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.1

Similarity score93%

St. Joseph, MO-KS

Small-town rural republican 3

Small-town rural republican 3

R+49.8

Similarity score89%

Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.4

Similarity score88%

Bluefield, WV-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+62.5

Similarity score86%

Wheeling, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.5

Similarity score86%

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.5

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fort Smith, AR-OK

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Sebastian	129K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	13.4%
Sebastian	127K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	13.4%
Sebastian	121K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	13.4%
Sebastian	115K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	13.4%
Crawford	62K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	7.0%
Crawford	61K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	7.0%
Crawford	59K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	7.0%
Crawford	53K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	7.0%
Sequoyah	41K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	4.6%
Sequoyah	41K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	4.6%
Sequoyah	40K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	4.6%
Sequoyah	39K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	4.6%

12 countiesTotal votes: 339,476

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fort Smith, AR-OK's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fort Smith, AR-OK metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fort Smith, AR-OKCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 74.7%Hispanic 8.8%Multiracial 5.5%Native American 4.2%Black 4.0%Asian 2.7%

Group	Fort Smith, AR-OK	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	74.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	8.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.5%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	4.2%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(5)	4.0%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

56.3%(129.3K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -64.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	40.0%	71.0%	—	—
Catholic	6.3%	11.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.3%	9.4%	—	—
Other	3.6%	6.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.7%	3.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.1%	1.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	43.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Fort Smith, AR-OK metro area? 888,762 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Fort Smith, AR-OK vs National889K residents

17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

889K

local

889KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.27%

local

0.27%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.7%

local

38.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$42,580

local

$42,580National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.0%

local

18.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.6%

local

16.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.1%

local

67.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.3 yrs

local

37.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6%

local

11.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.0%

local

6.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.1%

local

90.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fort Smith, AR-OK

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

50.6%

vs Previous

-1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

83K · 49.4%

Citizen VAP

167,566

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fort Smith, AR-OK split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+52.5	R+40.6	11.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 29.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fort Smith, AR-OK sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arkansas(State)Oklahoma(State)

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