Missouri River crossroads where mid-size manufacturing meets a split state line
St. Joseph spans the Missouri-Kansas border and has trended toward Republican margins in presidential cycles, driven by a blue-collar workforce and rural hinterlands that increasingly outweigh its small urban Democratic base.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchanan | 89K | R+28.0 | 12,598 | 22,606 | 35,743 | 16.6% |
| Buchanan | 88K | R+28.0 | 12,598 | 22,606 | 35,743 | 16.6% |
| Buchanan | 86K | R+28.0 | 12,598 | 22,606 | 35,743 | 16.6% |
| Buchanan | 84K | R+28.0 | 12,598 | 22,606 | 35,743 | 16.6% |
| Andrew | 18K | R+51.7 | 2,312 | 7,407 | 9,847 | 4.6% |
| Andrew | 17K | R+51.7 | 2,312 | 7,407 | 9,847 | 4.6% |
| Andrew | 17K | R+51.7 | 2,312 | 7,407 | 9,847 | 4.6% |
| Andrew | 16K | R+51.7 | 2,312 | 7,407 | 9,847 | 4.6% |
| De Kalb | 13K | R+62.6 | 870 | 3,885 | 4,814 | 2.2% |
| De Kalb | 12K | R+62.6 | 870 | 3,885 | 4,814 | 2.2% |
| De Kalb | 12K | R+62.6 | 870 | 3,885 | 4,814 | 2.2% |
| De Kalb | 11K | R+62.6 | 870 | 3,885 | 4,814 | 2.2% |
| Doniphan | 8K | R+63.5 | 626 | 2,899 | 3,577 | 1.7% |
| Doniphan | 8K | R+63.5 | 626 | 2,899 | 3,577 | 1.7% |
| Doniphan | 8K | R+63.5 | 626 | 2,899 | 3,577 | 1.7% |
| Doniphan | 8K | R+63.5 | 626 | 2,899 | 3,577 | 1.7% |
| Group | St. Joseph, MO-KS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 4.5% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 4.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -45.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.2% | 58.7% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 17.6% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 17.1% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 4.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.8% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the St. Joseph, MO-KS metro area? 494,883 residents across 16 counties.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+37.8 | R+31.1 | 6.6pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+31.1 | R+37.6 | 6.5pp |
| President vs Governor | R+37.8 | R+37.6 | 0.2pp |