A border metro where Maryland and West Virginia politics collide
Straddling the Potomac, this two-state metro has shifted sharply toward Republican margins over the past decade, driven by working-class suburban growth in Berkeley County, WV, and slower population gains on the Maryland side.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 156K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 13.2% |
| Washington | 150K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 13.2% |
| Washington | 144K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 13.2% |
| Washington | 132K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 13.2% |
| Berkeley | 130K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 10.1% |
| Berkeley | 110K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 10.1% |
| Berkeley | 99K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 10.1% |
| Berkeley | 76K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 10.1% |
| Morgan | 18K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 1.6% |
| Morgan | 17K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 1.6% |
| Morgan | 16K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 1.6% |
| Morgan | 15K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 1.6% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 3.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | 46.2% | — | — | |
| 9.2% | 28.8% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 16.1% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 7.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 3.4% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 1.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 68.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV metro area? 1,062,197 residents across 12 counties.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+30.3 | R+36.4 | 6.1pp |
| President vs Governor | R+30.3 | R+36.2 | 6.0pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+36.4 | R+36.2 | 0.1pp |