How did Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+15.8. Kamala D Harris received 470,491 votes and Donald Trump received 649,601 out of 1,133,355 total votes cast, a 2.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN's political history?

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 26.6 points in 1968.

What are the demographics of Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN?

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN has a population of 8,583,180 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 80.9% non-Hispanic white, 2.7% Hispanic, 11.7% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $59,998.

Live · Metropolitan area

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN

Q: Which places are most similar to Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN are Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN, Chattanooga, TN-GA, St. Louis, MO-IL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

A three-state metro where Hamilton County's swing history shapes regional outcomes

Cincinnati's core county has shifted between parties in presidential cycles while the surrounding Indiana and Kentucky exurbs trend reliably conservative, making the metro's aggregate margin a reliable stress-test for statewide coalitions.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 17140

Population8.6M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.9y▼ 2.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

30.5%▼ 4.5

White80.9%
Black11.7%
Two or more2.9%
Hispanic2.7%
Asian2.0%
Other1.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Cincinnati, OH-KY-INBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN, Chattanooga, TN-GA, and St. Louis, MO-IL.

8 visible matches

Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+6.7

Similarity score98%

Chattanooga, TN-GA

Educated rural competitive 2

R+29.3

Similarity score97%

St. Louis, MO-IL

Educated rural competitive 2

D+0.8

Similarity score97%

Kansas City, MO-KS

Educated rural competitive 2

D+2.6

Similarity score96%

Omaha, NE-IA

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.5

Similarity score96%

Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

Educated rural competitive 2

R+1.3

Similarity score95%

Sioux Falls, SD-MN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+19.2

Similarity score95%

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.1

Similarity score94%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Hamilton	852K	D+14.9	233,360	172,365	410,085	9.0%
Hamilton	845K	D+14.9	233,360	172,365	410,085	9.0%
Hamilton	831K	D+14.9	233,360	172,365	410,085	9.0%
Hamilton	806K	D+14.9	233,360	172,365	410,085	9.0%
Butler	393K	R+26.3	66,713	114,831	183,197	4.0%
Butler	374K	R+26.3	66,713	114,831	183,197	4.0%
Butler	357K	R+26.3	66,713	114,831	183,197	4.0%
Butler	333K	R+26.3	66,713	114,831	183,197	4.0%
Warren	250K	R+31.5	47,128	91,132	139,619	3.1%
Warren	222K	R+31.5	47,128	91,132	139,619	3.1%
Clermont	211K	R+35.8	36,130	76,964	114,143	2.5%
Warren	203K	R+31.5	47,128	91,132	139,619	3.1%
Clermont	201K	R+35.8	36,130	76,964	114,143	2.5%
Clermont	193K	R+35.8	36,130	76,964	114,143	2.5%
Clermont	178K	R+35.8	36,130	76,964	114,143	2.5%
Kenton	171K	R+21.7	30,859	48,444	80,948	1.8%
Kenton	163K	R+21.7	30,859	48,444	80,948	1.8%
Warren	158K	R+31.5	47,128	91,132	139,619	3.1%
Kenton	156K	R+21.7	30,859	48,444	80,948	1.8%
Kenton	151K	R+21.7	30,859	48,444	80,948	1.8%
Boone	140K	R+37.1	20,601	45,650	67,421	1.5%
Boone	126K	R+37.1	20,601	45,650	67,421	1.5%
Boone	113K	R+37.1	20,601	45,650	67,421	1.5%
Campbell	93K	R+19.6	18,952	28,450	48,334	1.1%
Campbell	91K	R+19.6	18,952	28,450	48,334	1.1%
Campbell	89K	R+19.6	18,952	28,450	48,334	1.1%
Campbell	88K	R+19.6	18,952	28,450	48,334	1.1%
Boone	86K	R+37.1	20,601	45,650	67,421	1.5%
Dearborn	51K	R+58.3	5,335	20,844	26,600	0.6%
Dearborn	50K	R+58.3	5,335	20,844	26,600	0.6%
Dearborn	50K	R+58.3	5,335	20,844	26,600	0.6%
Dearborn	46K	R+58.3	5,335	20,844	26,600	0.6%
Brown	44K	R+61.5	4,069	17,257	21,444	0.5%
Brown	44K	R+61.5	4,069	17,257	21,444	0.5%
Brown	44K	R+61.5	4,069	17,257	21,444	0.5%
Brown	42K	R+61.5	4,069	17,257	21,444	0.5%
Grant	25K	R+64.8	1,944	9,372	11,469	0.3%
Grant	25K	R+64.8	1,944	9,372	11,469	0.3%
Grant	25K	R+64.8	1,944	9,372	11,469	0.3%
Franklin	23K	R+64.4	2,061	9,810	12,034	0.3%
Franklin	23K	R+64.4	2,061	9,810	12,034	0.3%
Franklin	23K	R+64.4	2,061	9,810	12,034	0.3%
Grant	22K	R+64.8	1,944	9,372	11,469	0.3%
Franklin	22K	R+64.4	2,061	9,810	12,034	0.3%
Pendleton	15K	R+63.5	1,210	5,593	6,900	0.2%
Pendleton	15K	R+63.5	1,210	5,593	6,900	0.2%
Pendleton	15K	R+63.5	1,210	5,593	6,900	0.2%
Pendleton	14K	R+63.5	1,210	5,593	6,900	0.2%
Gallatin	9K	R+59.9	761	3,109	3,917	0.1%
Bracken	9K	R+64.9	702	3,399	4,153	0.1%
Gallatin	9K	R+59.9	761	3,109	3,917	0.1%
Bracken	8K	R+64.9	702	3,399	4,153	0.1%
Bracken	8K	R+64.9	702	3,399	4,153	0.1%
Bracken	8K	R+64.9	702	3,399	4,153	0.1%
Gallatin	8K	R+59.9	761	3,109	3,917	0.1%
Gallatin	8K	R+59.9	761	3,109	3,917	0.1%
Ohio	6K	R+55.5	666	2,381	3,091	0.1%
Ohio	6K	R+55.5	666	2,381	3,091	0.1%
Ohio	6K	R+55.5	666	2,381	3,091	0.1%
Ohio	6K	R+55.5	666	2,381	3,091	0.1%

60 countiesTotal votes: 4,533,420

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Cincinnati, OH-KY-INCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 80.9%Black 11.7%Hispanic 2.7%Multiracial 2.4%Asian 2.0%

Group	Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	80.9%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	11.7%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	2.7%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.0%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.1%(1.2M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -19.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	24.8%	48.5%	—	—
Catholic	16.9%	33.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.1%	8.0%	—	—
Other	3.1%	6.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.9%	3.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN metro area? 8,583,180 residents across 60 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN vs National8.6M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.6M

local

8.6MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.56%

local

2.56%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.4%

local

38.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$59,998

local

$59,998National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

30.5%

local

30.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.8%

local

67.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.9 yrs

local

36.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.8%

local

10.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.8%

local

5.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.2%

local

94.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

67.3%

vs Previous

-1.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

550K · 32.7%

Citizen VAP

1,683,849

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+6.8	R+56.1	49.3pp
President vs Governor	R+15.8	R+56.1	40.3pp
President vs Senate	R+15.8	R+6.8	9.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 18.2pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Indiana(State)Kentucky(State)Ohio(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo